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Dec 06, 2019
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US adds 266,000 new jobs, surpasses expectations

US adds 266,000 new jobs, surpasses expectations

The U.S. economy added more jobs last month than expected, and the unemployment rate touched a record low.

According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 266,000 new positions were added to the economy in November, which well exceeded economists' forecasts of 180,000. 

The unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, the lowest since 1969. 

Average hourly earnings rose +0.2% on a monthly basis, in line with analysts’ expectations. The year-over-year wage growth rate came in at + 3.1%, above analysts’ forecasts of +3%.

The latest jobs reports potentially spells hope amid uncertainties related to US-China trade relations, slowing business fixed investment and weakening manufacturing output of recent times.

Manufacturing sector added 54,000 positions in November, out of which 41,000 were in auto manufacturing. General Motors workers, who came back from their October strike, helped in boosting job gains.

U.S. job gain figure for October was revised upwards to 193,000 from 180,000. For September, the data was revised to 156,000  from 128,000.

Related Ticker: SPY

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


SPY in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026

SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 37 cases where SPY's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 44 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Following a +2.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in 291 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPY as a result. In 65 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.

SPY moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500® Index. The trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the “Portfolio”), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) ETF is 150.44B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 7.11B to 5T. AAPL holds the highest valuation in this group at 5T. The lowest valued company is MOS at 7.11B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) ETF was 49%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 49%, and the average quarterly price growth was 407%. APP experienced the highest price growth at 61%, while FIS experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) ETF was -10%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 70
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 39
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 57
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
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