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Oct 30, 2018
US Curbs Exports to Chinese Chipmaker Fujian Jinhua

US Curbs Exports to Chinese Chipmaker Fujian Jinhua

The U.S. is limiting its exports to a Chinese chipmaker as regulators increase scrutiny over potential national security threats.

The US Commerce Department announced Monday that it will not allow U.S. companies to sell parts to Chinese semiconductor firm Fujian Jinhua Integrated Circuit Company, unless the latter is able to get a special license to buy an American product.

The export restriction apparently stems from U.S. official’s concerns about China getting access to critical components of U.S. military systems. Fujian Jinhua potentially "poses a significant risk of becoming involved in activities that are contrary to the national security interests of the United States," the Department said regarding its latest curb on exports. This follows December’s federal lawsuit  filed by U.S. chipmaker Micron  accusing  Fujian Jinhua of stealing its trade secrets. Fujian Jinhua retaliated through a countersuit against Micron in Chinese court in January.

Earlier this year, U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration put an export ban on Chinese telecom company ZTE, on allegations that the company presented false information to American officials about punishing employees who violated US sanctions against Iran and North Korea. The ban was lifted in July  after ZTE agreed to shell out $1 billion in fines and promised increased oversight. This reflected that ZTE could potentially have been in a serious quandary  is it was unable to buy chips/processors from U.S. firms like Qualcomm. 

The  export bans/restrictions potentially aggravate U.S.-China tensions amidst the tariff-slapping battle that is yet to cool off between the two nations.

 

 

Related Ticker: MCHI

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


MCHI sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

MCHI saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 13, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 31, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MCHI as a result. In 78 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

MCHI moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MCHI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCHI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Aroon Indicator for MCHI entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MCHI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 32 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCHI advanced for three days, in 210 of 256 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

MCHI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI China Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the performance of equity securities in the top 85% in market capitalization of the Chinese equity securities markets, as represented by the H-shares and B-shares markets. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI China ETF ETF is 14.9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04B to 110.75B. PDD holds the highest valuation in this group at 110.75B. The lowest valued company is QFIN at 1.04B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI China ETF ETF was 13%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. QFIN experienced the highest price growth at -1%, while LEGN experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI China ETF ETF was -25%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 13% and the average quarterly volume growth was -34%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 29
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 69
SMR Rating: 54
Profit Risk Rating: 95
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
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US Curbs Exports to Chinese Chipmaker Fujian Jinhua