US Foods Holding (USFD) hits lower rail of channel, gets bullish signal
Wholesale food distributor US Foods Holding (NYSE: USFD) has been trending higher since last November. A trend channel has formed in the last seven months with the lower rail connecting the lows from November, December, May, and now June. A parallel upper rail connects the highs from November, February, and May. The stock just hit the lower rail of the channel and looks to bounce back from a recent pullback.
One other development from the chart is the fact that the daily stochastic readings dropped down below the 30 level and made a bullish crossover on June 26. The indicators didn’t quite reach oversold territory, but the crossover could act as a bullish sign.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for US Foods on June 24. The signal showed a confidence level of 63% and it calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month. Past predictions on the stock have been successful 76% of the time.
The company’s fundamentals are somewhat mixed at this time. The company has been able to grow earnings at a rate of 27% per year over the last three years and they grew by 6% in the most recent quarter. Unfortunately, sales have only grown by 2% per year over the last three years. The company’s profit margin is also below average at 2.6%.
Contributor
Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
PFGC's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PFGC turned positive on September 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where PFGC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PFGC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PFGC as a result. In 56 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +2.56% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PFGC advanced for three days, in 226 of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PFGC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
PFGC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for PFGC entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 54 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.949) is normal, around the industry mean (3.291). P/E Ratio (40.162) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.913). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.768) is also within normal values, averaging (0.741). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.211) is also within normal values, averaging (0.357).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PFGC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a distributor of food products
Industry FoodDistributors
Advertisement