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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 24, 2019

US Foods Holding (USFD) hits lower rail of channel, gets bullish signal

Wholesale food distributor US Foods Holding (NYSE: USFD) has been trending higher since last November. A trend channel has formed in the last seven months with the lower rail connecting the lows from November, December, May, and now June. A parallel upper rail connects the highs from November, February, and May. The stock just hit the lower rail of the channel and looks to bounce back from a recent pullback.

One other development from the chart is the fact that the daily stochastic readings dropped down below the 30 level and made a bullish crossover on June 26. The indicators didn’t quite reach oversold territory, but the crossover could act as a bullish sign.

The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for US Foods on June 24. The signal showed a confidence level of 63% and it calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month. Past predictions on the stock have been successful 76% of the time.

The company’s fundamentals are somewhat mixed at this time. The company has been able to grow earnings at a rate of 27% per year over the last three years and they grew by 6% in the most recent quarter. Unfortunately, sales have only grown by 2% per year over the last three years. The company’s profit margin is also below average at 2.6%.

Related Ticker: PFGC

Aroon Indicator for PFGC shows an upward move is likely

PFGC's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 09, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 293 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 293 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for PFGC moved above the 200-day moving average on June 10, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PFGC advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PFGC moved out of overbought territory on June 02, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 50 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PFGC as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PFGC turned negative on June 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PFGC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

PFGC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PFGC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.985) is normal, around the industry mean (18.067). P/E Ratio (27.044) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.917). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.660) is also within normal values, averaging (1.517). PFGC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (0.200) is also within normal values, averaging (1.519).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Industry description

Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food Distributors Industry is 5B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 21.55K to 40.11B. SYY holds the highest valuation in this group at 40.11B. The lowest valued company is LFER at 21.55K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food Distributors Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 70%. AVO experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while AIXN experienced the biggest fall at -47%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food Distributors Industry was 20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was 41%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: -6 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a distributor of food products

Industry FoodDistributors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Distributors
Address
12500 West Creek Parkway
Phone
+1 804 484-7700
Employees
35000
Web
https://www.pfgc.com
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