GET DAILY SIGNALSUS GDP revised down to +2.2% in Q4; year-over-year growth moves closer to Trump target
The U.S. economy in the fourth quarter 2018 grew at a rate slower than previously estimated. On a year-over-year basis, however, growth inched closer to President Donald Trump’s vision.
On Thursday, the U.S. Commerce Department reported that gross domestic product (GDP) grew +2.2% in Q4, compared to Q3. That was a downward revision from the Dept.’s prior estimate of +2.6% growth for Q4. Consumer spending, government expenditure, and nonresidential fixed investment were all revised down.
Fourth quarter also marks a slowing of growth compared to the third’s quarter’s +3.4%. However, Q4 GDP rose +3% from the year-ago quarter. In 2017, Donald Trump’s administration had promised to push the annual growth of GDP to +3% while championing tax cuts.
Nonresidential fixed investment, increased +5.4%, higher than the +2.5% growth in the third quarter.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for SPY turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SPY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 69 of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 37 of 44 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
SPY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +0.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in 295 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 356 of 419 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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