US GDP revised down to +2.2% in Q4; year-over-year growth moves closer to Trump target
The U.S. economy in the fourth quarter 2018 grew at a rate slower than previously estimated. On a year-over-year basis, however, growth inched closer to President Donald Trump’s vision.
On Thursday, the U.S. Commerce Department reported that gross domestic product (GDP) grew +2.2% in Q4, compared to Q3. That was a downward revision from the Dept.’s prior estimate of +2.6% growth for Q4. Consumer spending, government expenditure, and nonresidential fixed investment were all revised down.
Fourth quarter also marks a slowing of growth compared to the third’s quarter’s +3.4%. However, Q4 GDP rose +3% from the year-ago quarter. In 2017, Donald Trump’s administration had promised to push the annual growth of GDP to +3% while championing tax cuts.
Nonresidential fixed investment, increased +5.4%, higher than the +2.5% growth in the third quarter.
SPY's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPY moved out of overbought territory on June 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on May 28, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 68 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 366 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 435 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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