US retail sales decreased -0.6 % month-over-month in November -- a steeper drop than analysts’ expectations of a -0.2% dip -- as high inflation dampened consumer spending during the key holiday season.
Nine of 13 retail categories experienced a decrease in sales, including motor vehicles, electronics, furniture and building materials stores. Excluding gasoline and autos, retail sales slipped -0.2%. Sales at restaurants and bars were up +0.9% in November, the fourth-straight increase, as consumers might be shifting spending towards services from goods.
The month saw spending at nonstore retailers slip -0.9%, while one of the only categories to rise were grocery stores bolstered by higher food prices (though the pace was slower than the prior month).
WMT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on April 26, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 19, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WMT as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
WMT moved below its 50-day moving average on May 24, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 30, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 08, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where WMT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 295 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.441) is normal, around the industry mean (56.840). WMT has a moderately high P/E Ratio (35.211) as compared to the industry average of (22.676). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.427) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.978). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.638) is also within normal values, averaging (1.150).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a retail discount department store
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
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