U.S. retail sales fell in the month of May, amidst record high inflation rates dampening consumers’ discretionary spending.
Data from Commerce Department indicated that May retail sales slipped -0.3% over the month to a $672.9 billion, below the Street consensus forecast of a +0.2% gain. It also marked a departure from a four-month stretch of consecutive gains. Excluding the auto sector, May retail sales rose +0.5%, the Commerce Department report mentioned.
The data also revealed a downward revision in April’s retail sales gain, to 0.7%, from the prior estimate of a 0.9% rise.
The Commerce Department's headline inflation climbed to +8.6%, the highest in more than four decades. Core inflation was +5.9%, near the highest since February of 1991. Surging food and fuel prices might have left consumers with less cash to spend on "core" items.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPY turned positive on May 26, 2023. Looking at past instances where SPY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 25, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 67 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 361 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 425 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPY has been closely correlated with IVV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 100% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SPY jumps, then IVV could also see price increases.
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