U.S. retail sales fell in the month of May, amidst record high inflation rates dampening consumers’ discretionary spending.
Data from Commerce Department indicated that May retail sales slipped -0.3% over the month to a $672.9 billion, below the Street consensus forecast of a +0.2% gain. It also marked a departure from a four-month stretch of consecutive gains. Excluding the auto sector, May retail sales rose +0.5%, the Commerce Department report mentioned.
The data also revealed a downward revision in April’s retail sales gain, to 0.7%, from the prior estimate of a 0.9% rise.
The Commerce Department's headline inflation climbed to +8.6%, the highest in more than four decades. Core inflation was +5.9%, near the highest since February of 1991. Surging food and fuel prices might have left consumers with less cash to spend on "core" items.
The RSI Indicator for SPY moved out of oversold territory on March 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPY just turned positive on April 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SPY moved above its 50-day moving average on April 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on April 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Category LargeBlend