Utility company NRG Energy runs in to several forms of resistance
Texas electricity supplier NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG) has been lagging the utilities sector and the overall market so far in 2019 and now the stock is running into a couple of different forms of resistance. The stock is downright at 10% since the beginning of the year while the S&P is up almost 19% and the utilities sector is up almost 17%.
If the stock is going to turn things around and do some catching up, it is going to have to break through its 50-day moving average as well as the $36 level. We see on the daily chart that the $36 area acted as support back in December and then the stock fell below that level in May. The stock danced around it for a few days before dropping solidly below $36. When it attempted to move back up in June, the area acted as a resistance.
It is also worth noting that the daily stochastic readings are in overbought territory and just made a bearish crossover.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bearish signal for NRG Energy on July 8. The signal showed a confidence level of 90% and past predictions have been successful 82% of the time. For this signal to be considered successful, the stock will need to drop at least 4% within the next month.
In addition to the technical resistance, the fundamentals for NRG are pretty bad. Earnings fell 62% in the most recent quarter, sales have declined by an average of 10% per year over the last three years, and the company’s ROE and profit margin are below average.
Momentum Indicator for NRG turns positive, indicating new upward trend
NRG saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 25, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NRG advanced for three days, in of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 304 cases where NRG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NRG turned negative on May 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NRG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NRG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NRG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NRG's P/B Ratio (6.676) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.710). P/E Ratio (6.068) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.490). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.418) is also within normal values, averaging (2.640). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.555) is also within normal values, averaging (3.122).
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General Information
a company which produces, sells and delivers energy products and services
Industry ElectricUtilities
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