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Mar 13, 2019
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Vera Bradley (VRA, $13.47) climbs +11% in pre-market, on earnings beat

Vera Bradley (VRA, $13.47) climbs +11% in pre-market, on earnings beat

Vera Bradley reported its fiscal fourth quarter earnings, which surpassed analysts’ expectations and almost the company’s own forecast. Vera Bradley shares jumped more than +11% on the news, during pre-market trading.

The maker of luggage, handbag and fashion accessories raked in earnings of 25 cents a share, beating analysts’ estimates of 26 cents. It also came in on the higher end of the company’s own guidance of 22-25 cents range. Net income of $8.6 million  was around +1.2% higher from the year-ago quarter.

For the full fiscal year, Vera Bradley’s net income came in at 59 cents a share, exceeding analysts' estimates of 58 cents a share. The figure was also substantially greater compared to the 35-45 cents per share annual guidance that the firm provided around this time last year, according to the company.

Net sales came in at $416.1 million, compared to $454.6 million in fiscal 2018. But it managed to be at the upper end of Vera’s guidance range.

While lower clearance promotions and lower-than-expected factory channel traffic reduced Vera Bradley’s overall customer traffic for the fiscal year, the headwind was offset by solid customer count in its full-line stores and on its online store, as indicated by the company.

Related Ticker: VRA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


VRA's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in overbought zone for 1 day

Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VRA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

VRA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VRA just turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where VRA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +9.21% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VRA advanced for three days, in 183 of 249 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 140 of 187 cases where VRA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.431) is normal, around the industry mean (2.846). VRA's P/E Ratio (-18.857) is considerably lower than the industry average of (12.010). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (0.949). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.051) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.412) is also within normal values, averaging (1.162).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VRA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VRA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (NYSE:NKE).

Industry description

Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Wholesale Distributors Industry is 7.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 22K to 57.37B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 57.37B. The lowest valued company is JALA at 22K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. PAVS experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while FMFC experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -22% and the average quarterly volume growth was 68%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 37 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a producer of retails accessories for women

Industry WholesaleDistributors

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
12420 Stonebridge Road
Phone
+1 877 708-8372
Employees
1360
Web
https://www.verabradley.com
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