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Mar 13, 2019

Vera Bradley (VRA, $13.47) climbs +11% in pre-market, on earnings beat

Vera Bradley reported its fiscal fourth quarter earnings, which surpassed analysts’ expectations and almost the company’s own forecast. Vera Bradley shares jumped more than +11% on the news, during pre-market trading.

The maker of luggage, handbag and fashion accessories raked in earnings of 25 cents a share, beating analysts’ estimates of 26 cents. It also came in on the higher end of the company’s own guidance of 22-25 cents range. Net income of $8.6 million  was around +1.2% higher from the year-ago quarter.

For the full fiscal year, Vera Bradley’s net income came in at 59 cents a share, exceeding analysts' estimates of 58 cents a share. The figure was also substantially greater compared to the 35-45 cents per share annual guidance that the firm provided around this time last year, according to the company.

Net sales came in at $416.1 million, compared to $454.6 million in fiscal 2018. But it managed to be at the upper end of Vera’s guidance range.

While lower clearance promotions and lower-than-expected factory channel traffic reduced Vera Bradley’s overall customer traffic for the fiscal year, the headwind was offset by solid customer count in its full-line stores and on its online store, as indicated by the company.

Related Ticker: VRA

VRA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on June 12, 2024

VRA moved below its 50-day moving average on June 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 42 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VRA moved out of overbought territory on July 18, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 10-day moving average for VRA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VRA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VRA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for VRA entered a downward trend on July 16, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 08, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VRA as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VRA just turned positive on July 09, 2024. Looking at past instances where VRA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VRA advanced for three days, in of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. VRA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.794) is normal, around the industry mean (3.264). P/E Ratio (26.800) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.425). VRA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.991). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.446) is also within normal values, averaging (1.407).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VRA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (NYSE:NKE), Skechers USA (NYSE:SKX), VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 6.29B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 140.24B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 140.24B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. GRNL experienced the highest price growth at 62%, while CDGXY experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was -6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 11% and the average quarterly volume growth was 7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -7 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of retails accessories for women

Industry ApparelFootwear

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
12420 Stonebridge Road
Phone
+1 877 708-8372
Employees
2180
Web
https://www.verabradley.com
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