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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 10, 2019

VeriSign testing 52-week moving average ahead of earnings

The next earnings season is right around the corner. Over the next four weeks or so we will get earnings reports from well over half of the companies in the S&P 500. One company that will be reporting is VeriSign (Nasdaq: VRSN), the internet registry and infrastructure firm. The company is scheduled to release third quarter earnings results on October 24.

Before the company gets to that earnings release, the stock is facing some key support at its 52-week moving average. The stock hasn’t closed a week below that trend line since early 2017. Over the last two weeks the stock has dipped below the 52-week, but it hasn’t closed below it yet.

We see that the weekly stochastic readings are in oversold territory and at their lowest levels in the last three and a half years. The indicators did make a bullish crossover recently and such moves have been a good sign for the stock in the past.

The 10-week RSI isn’t in oversold territory yet, but it is at its lowest point since August of 2016.

Looking at some of the daily indicators, the 10-day RSI exited the oversold zone last week and that indicates that VeriSign price is in a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend. According to Tickeron, in 5 of 6 cases where the RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued uptrend are 83%.

We also see that the lower Bollinger Band was broken last week and that suggests a price increase is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band. The Tickeron Technical Analysis Overview points out that in 21 of 33 cases where VeriSign's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued uptrend are 64%.

Looking at VeriSign’s fundamental indicators, the company has seen earnings grow by 17% per year over the last three years and they grew by 13% in the second quarter. Sales have been relatively flat, only growing by 3% per year over the last three years. The company does boast a profit margin of 65.4% and that is well above average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for VeriSign is 13 and that indicates low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock well better than average.

As for the sentiment toward VeriSign, we see a bit of mixed picture. There are only four analysts covering the stock which I find to be extremely low for a company that has been around since 1995 and trades over 600,000 shares a day on average. As for the ratings, there is one “buy” rating, two “hold” ratings, and one “sell” rating. This leaves plenty of room for additional coverage and upgrades.

The short interest ratio is currently at 1.79 and that is on the low side. The low ratio indicates a certain degree of optimism for the stock ahead of the earnings report.

Related Ticker: VRSN

VRSN in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on May 27, 2025

VRSN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 33 cases where VRSN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 06, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VRSN as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VRSN just turned positive on June 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where VRSN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VRSN advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VRSN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for VRSN entered a downward trend on June 05, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (31.685). P/E Ratio (23.976) is within average values for comparable stocks, (163.514). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.714) is also within normal values, averaging (2.724). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.123) is also within normal values, averaging (61.551).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VRSN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.72B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 56%. ARAT experienced the highest price growth at 389%, while MRIN experienced the biggest fall at -50%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -3% and the average quarterly volume growth was -10%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of internet infrastructure services

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Internet Software Or Services
Address
12061 Bluemont Way
Phone
+1 703 948-3200
Employees
908
Web
https://www.verisign.com
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