Media giant Viacom (Nasdaq: VIAB) has seen its stock rally in the last couple of weeks, but if you look at a long-term chart of the stock you will see that the stock has been in a downward trend. The weekly chart shows a trend line that connects the highs from last October, November, and this past April. The rally in the last few weeks has brought the stock up to the downward sloped trend line.
On the daily chart, the daily stochastic readings had reached overbought territory in the last few days, but the indicators made a bearish crossover on June 7.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bearish signal for Viacom on June 6 and the signal showed a confidence level of 69%. The signal calls for a decline of at least 4% in the next month. Previous predictions on Viacom have been successful 86% of the time.
Viacom’s fundamentals are pretty average. The company has seen its earnings decline by 1% per year over the last three years while revenue has been flat. Earnings were up by 3% in the most recent quarter, but revenue declined by 6% on a year over year basis.
The return on equity is decent at 24.7% and so is the profit margin at 17.2%.
AMC saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on March 19, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 76 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 76 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMC turned negative on March 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 33 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
AMC moved below its 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for AMC entered a downward trend on March 28, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMC advanced for three days, in of 250 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AMC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.429). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (90.623). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.818). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.194) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.146) is also within normal values, averaging (27.261).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a holding company with interest in movie theatres
Industry MoviesEntertainment