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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 19, 2021

Virgin Galactic (SPCE, $30.73) Abu Dhabi fund cuts holding; Susquehanna downgrades shares

Virgin Galactic   shares rose on Tuesday, even after news of Abu Dhabi's sovereign-wealth fund reducing its holding in the space-tourism company and Susquehanna analysts downgrading the stock.

According to a regulatory filing, Mubadala Investment, Abu Dhabi's sovereign-wealth fund,  pared its stake in the company to 11.8 million shares ( 5.04%), from 14.9 million shares (7.08%).  But Mubadala remains Virgin's third largest shareholder, according to S&P Capital.

Virgin Galactic’s shares was downgraded to neutral from positive by Susquehanna analysts. Their price target on the shares $32 a share, indicating potential 5.2% downside from the shares' Friday closing price. 

Virgin announced in December that shareholders may sell up to nearly 113 million shares following the end of a lockup period. 

Related Ticker: SPCE

SPCE in +25.65% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on March 19, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SPCE advanced for three days, in of 250 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SPCE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 41 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPCE just turned positive on March 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where SPCE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 55 cases where SPCE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 27, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPCE as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPCE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SPCE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SPCE entered a downward trend on March 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.358) is normal, around the industry mean (8.311). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (72.746). SPCE's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.220). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.521) is also within normal values, averaging (7.175).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SPCE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPCE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Spirit Aerosystems Holdings (NYSE:SPR), Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 17.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.49 to 221.18B. GE holds the highest valuation in this group at 221.18B. The lowest valued company is BDRPF at 4.49.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. BOMBF experienced the highest price growth at 58%, while HWKE experienced the biggest fall at -50%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -39% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: -6 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a holding company, which engages in the business of owning and operating privately built spaceships

Industry AerospaceDefense

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1700 Flight Way
Phone
+1 949 774-7640
Employees
805
Web
https://www.virgingalactic.com
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