Walt Disney (DIS, $95.28) stock gets a reiterated Hold from Needham analyst
Walt Disney Co. shares got a reaffirmed Hold rating from Needham analyst Laura Martin.
For 4Q22, Martin maintained the revenue estimate at $21.2 billion (representing a y/y growth of 14% ). However, she lowered her forecast for the operating income by 29% to $1.9 billion.
Martin’s guidance reflects Content Sales Licensing & Other OI estimate of $100 million below 4Q21 levels (a loss of $65 million) and larger than expected costs from DIS continuing to scale back on 3rd party content licensing. The forecasts also incorporate higher DTC losses ($1.35 billion vs. $800 million before) relating to costs associated with selling less owned content to outside 3rd parties and higher than expected content expenditures, and a higher tax rate.
Martin’s estimate for Operating EPS for 4Q22 is down by 45% to $0.35.
For the longer-term, the analyst think that Disney has a balance capable of weathering a longer COVID-related earnings downdraft.
According to Martin, Disney will be a winner in the streaming competition in the long run.
DIS in +2.13% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on October 14, 2024
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DIS as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DIS just turned positive on October 16, 2024. Looking at past instances where DIS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
DIS moved above its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DIS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 20, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 161 cases where DIS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DIS moved out of overbought territory on October 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
DIS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.213) is normal, around the industry mean (5.952). P/E Ratio (74.558) is within average values for comparable stocks, (90.982). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.871) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.503) is also within normal values, averaging (30.667).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of amusement parks, hotels, television stations and radio broadcasting stations
Industry MoviesEntertainment