Weekly Report: Tickeron's Robot Factory Yields 3.78% Return on $AFRM Investment
AI trading robot, the Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy (TA), has stood out as a performer in our robot factory. In the previous week, it achieved an impressive 3.78% gain while trading AFRM (Affirm Holdings Inc.), a notable stock in the market. In this article, we will delve into the technical analysis of AFRM's recent movements and explore the implications of its earnings results.
Technical Analysis: On May 08, 2023, AFRM made a significant move above its 50-day moving average, indicating a shift from a downward trend to an upward trend. This development is particularly noteworthy, as historical data suggests that in all 12 past instances when AFRM experienced a similar crossover, the stock price continued to rise further within the following month. Consequently, the odds of a continued upward trend for AFRM are estimated to be as high as 90%.
Earnings Review: AFRM recently released its earnings report on May 09, providing insights into the company's financial performance. The report revealed earnings per share (EPS) of -68 cents, surpassing the estimated EPS of -92 cents. This positive surprise indicates that AFRM performed better than anticipated, which can potentially influence market sentiment positively.
With 14.78 million shares outstanding, AFRM's current market capitalization stands at approximately 4.60 billion dollars. It is worth noting that market capitalization reflects the total value of a company's outstanding shares, providing investors with a rough estimate of its overall worth.
Conclusion: The "Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy (TA)" AI trading robot has demonstrated its effectiveness by generating a remarkable 3.78% gain while trading AFRM in the previous week. AFRM's upward trend, triggered by its movement above the 50-day moving average, suggests a positive outlook for the stock in the coming weeks based on historical patterns.
Furthermore, AFRM's recent earnings report exceeded expectations, with the company posting better-than-estimated earnings per share. This positive development could influence market sentiment and potentially contribute to the continued growth of AFRM.
AFRM in +4.98% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on September 29, 2023
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where AFRM advanced for three days, in of 149 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
AFRM moved above its 50-day moving average on August 25, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AFRM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 31, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AFRM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 112 cases where AFRM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AFRM moved out of overbought territory on September 19, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 21, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AFRM as a result. In of 42 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AFRM turned negative on September 21, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 21 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AFRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AFRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.462) is normal, around the industry mean (19.752). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (153.005). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.652). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.088) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.877) is also within normal values, averaging (74.348).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AFRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
Industry PackagedSoftware
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| DNIF | 10.81 | N/A | N/A |
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| IGSB | 49.83 | N/A | N/A |
| iShares 1-5 Year invmt Grd Corp Bd ETF | |||
| NTKI | 19.09 | -0.10 | -0.51% |
| Nationwide Russell 2000 Rsk-Mngd Inc ETF | |||
AFRM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AFRM has been closely correlated with COIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AFRM jumps, then COIN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AFRM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFRM | 100% | +2.01% | ||
| COIN - AFRM | 81% Closely correlated | -0.11% | ||
| CLSK - AFRM | 71% Closely correlated | -1.30% | ||
| RIOT - AFRM | 70% Closely correlated | -1.06% | ||
| BILL - AFRM | 66% Loosely correlated | +4.13% | ||
| TDOC - AFRM | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.32% | ||
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