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Feb 28, 2019
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Weight Watchers (WTW, $20.38) falls -30%, weak outlook for 2019

Weight Watchers (WTW, $20.38) falls -30%, weak outlook for 2019

Shares of Weight Watchers crashed 30% following a disappointing fourth quarter result and a poor outlook for 2019. Its adjusted fourth quarter earnings were 46 cents per share, versus a market estimate of 60 cents per share. Revenue reached $300 million versus a Wall Street expectation of $347 million. For 2019, the company expects to generate revenue of about $1.4 billion whereas analysts expected $1.66 billion in sales for the year.

CEO Mindy Grossman explains that Weight Watchers has been focused on improving member recruitment trends in light of the fact that their Winter Campaign did not recruit as expected. This year, they plan to introduce new creative with a stronger call-to-action to further optimize their media mix.

Under Grossman, WTW has shifted from a being a diet company, dropping ‘weight’ from its name and rebranding as WW last year. Younger customers tend to focus less on calorie counting and more on mindfulness of what they are eating.

The rebranding is also in-line with a long-term goal that expects that being a wellness partner the company will still have more to offer after customers have achieved their weight loss goals. In fact in 2019, they will focus on providing holistic wellness solutions that will retain their customers even after their initial weight loss.

Oprah Winfrey, who currently owns 8% of Weight Watchers, is its spokeswoman and board member. She is set to play a central role in the company’s spring television and digital marketing campaign.

Related Ticker: WTW

WTW in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026

WTW moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 23 of 33 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WTW as a result. In 62 of 106 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WTW just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where WTW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

The 10-day moving average for WTW crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Following a +1.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WTW advanced for three days, in 144 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 145 of 272 cases where WTW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 53%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for WTW moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 41%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 30 of 70 cases where WTW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WTW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

WTW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WTW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.932) is normal, around the industry mean (2.657). P/E Ratio (20.081) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.633). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.265) is also within normal values, averaging (8.322). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.990) is also within normal values, averaging (2.968).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are eHealth (NASDAQ:EHTH).

Industry description

Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Insurance Brokers/Services Industry is 14.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.03K to 98.01B. MRSH holds the highest valuation in this group at 98.01B. The lowest valued company is CUII at 3.03K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Insurance Brokers/Services Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 12%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. SLQT experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while ZBAO experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Insurance Brokers/Services Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -25%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of weight management services

Industry InsuranceBrokersServices

Industry
Other Consumer Services
Address
c/o Willis Group Limited
Phone
+44 2031246000
Employees
47000
Web
https://www.willistowerswatson.com
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