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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 28, 2019

Weight Watchers (WTW, $20.38) falls -30%, weak outlook for 2019

Shares of Weight Watchers crashed 30% following a disappointing fourth quarter result and a poor outlook for 2019. Its adjusted fourth quarter earnings were 46 cents per share, versus a market estimate of 60 cents per share. Revenue reached $300 million versus a Wall Street expectation of $347 million. For 2019, the company expects to generate revenue of about $1.4 billion whereas analysts expected $1.66 billion in sales for the year.

CEO Mindy Grossman explains that Weight Watchers has been focused on improving member recruitment trends in light of the fact that their Winter Campaign did not recruit as expected. This year, they plan to introduce new creative with a stronger call-to-action to further optimize their media mix.

Under Grossman, WTW has shifted from a being a diet company, dropping ‘weight’ from its name and rebranding as WW last year. Younger customers tend to focus less on calorie counting and more on mindfulness of what they are eating.

The rebranding is also in-line with a long-term goal that expects that being a wellness partner the company will still have more to offer after customers have achieved their weight loss goals. In fact in 2019, they will focus on providing holistic wellness solutions that will retain their customers even after their initial weight loss.

Oprah Winfrey, who currently owns 8% of Weight Watchers, is its spokeswoman and board member. She is set to play a central role in the company’s spring television and digital marketing campaign.

Related Ticker: WTW

WTW's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for WTW moved out of overbought territory on February 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 39 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WTW turned negative on February 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WTW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

WTW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 25, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WTW as a result. In of 102 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WTW advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 271 cases where WTW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. WTW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.944) is normal, around the industry mean (64.592). P/E Ratio (27.483) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.959). WTW's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.351) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.037). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.057) is also within normal values, averaging (2.515).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are eHealth (NASDAQ:EHTH).

Industry description

Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Insurance Brokers/Services Industry is 18.9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 419.6K to 100.63B. MMC holds the highest valuation in this group at 100.63B. The lowest valued company is ARGQD at 419.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Insurance Brokers/Services Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. QDMI experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while TIRX experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Insurance Brokers/Services Industry was -18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -39% and the average quarterly volume growth was -13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 75
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: -11 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a provider of weight management services

Industry InsuranceBrokersServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Other Consumer Services
Address
C/o Willis Group Ltd
Phone
+44 2031246000
Employees
48000
Web
https://www.willistowerswatson.com
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