Weight Watchers (WTW, $20.38) falls -30%, weak outlook for 2019
Shares of Weight Watchers crashed 30% following a disappointing fourth quarter result and a poor outlook for 2019. Its adjusted fourth quarter earnings were 46 cents per share, versus a market estimate of 60 cents per share. Revenue reached $300 million versus a Wall Street expectation of $347 million. For 2019, the company expects to generate revenue of about $1.4 billion whereas analysts expected $1.66 billion in sales for the year.
CEO Mindy Grossman explains that Weight Watchers has been focused on improving member recruitment trends in light of the fact that their Winter Campaign did not recruit as expected. This year, they plan to introduce new creative with a stronger call-to-action to further optimize their media mix.
Under Grossman, WTW has shifted from a being a diet company, dropping ‘weight’ from its name and rebranding as WW last year. Younger customers tend to focus less on calorie counting and more on mindfulness of what they are eating.
The rebranding is also in-line with a long-term goal that expects that being a wellness partner the company will still have more to offer after customers have achieved their weight loss goals. In fact in 2019, they will focus on providing holistic wellness solutions that will retain their customers even after their initial weight loss.
Oprah Winfrey, who currently owns 8% of Weight Watchers, is its spokeswoman and board member. She is set to play a central role in the company’s spring television and digital marketing campaign.
WTW in -1.20% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on October 05, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where WTW declined for three days, in 140 of 282 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WTW as a result. In 46 of 105 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
WTW moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WTW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
The Aroon Indicator for WTW entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 20 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WTW advanced for three days, in 143 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
WTW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WTW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.529) is normal, around the industry mean (6.334). P/E Ratio (18.084) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.709). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.265) is also within normal values, averaging (8.322). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.990) is also within normal values, averaging (2.968).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a provider of weight management services
Industry InsuranceBrokersServices
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