Wells Fargo (WFC, $23.95) has steeper-than-expected Q2 loss; slashes dividend
On Tuesday, Wells Fargo reported a second-quarter loss wider than anticipated by analysts. The bank also cut its dividend as coronavirus pandemic continues to wreak havoc in the economy.
Wells Fargo ‘s net loss for the quarter came in at -$2.4 billion, or -66 cents a share, compared to income of +$6.2 billion, or +$1.30 a share in the year-ago quarter. The loss was steeper than -16 cents a share loss expected by analysts polled by FactSet.
Revenue of $17.8 billion was lower than year-ago quarter’s $21.6 billion.
Net interest income of $9.88 billion fell -$2.2 billion year-over-year. Non-interest income was $8 billion, down -$1.5 billion year-over-year.
Average deposits was $1.4 trillion, up + 9% from a year earlier.
The company affirmed its plans to slash its dividend to 10 cents a share from the 51 cents – a cut greater than what analysts expected.
Tickeron's AI-powered scorecard rates WFC a Strong Sell.
WFC's in Downtrend: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram crosses below signal line
This is a Bearish indicator signaling WFC's price could decline. Traders may explore shorting the ticker or looking at put options. In 27 of 41 cases where WFC's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 66%.
Current price $23.86 is below $23.92 the lowest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 06/10/20 - 07/13/20, the price experienced a -14% Downtrend. During the week of 07/06/20 - 07/13/20, the stock fell -0.31%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 18 of 35 cases where WFC's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 51%.
The price moved below its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a reversal from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 19 of 34 cases where WFC's price crossed below its 50-day Moving Average, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 56%.
The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed below its 50-day Moving Average on June 30, 2020. This can be construed as a sell signal, indicating that the trend is shifting lower. In 9 of 16 cases where WFC's 10-day Moving Average crossed below its 50-day Moving Average, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 114 of 220 cases where WFC Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 52%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Indicator suggests the ticker price trend may be in a reversal from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. 28 of 55 cases where WFC's Stochastic Indicator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.
The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 13, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 45 of 87 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 66%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.13 to 1.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WFC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WFC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 7 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.66) is normal, around the industry mean (0.89). P/E Ratio (8.97) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.01). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.15) is also within normal values, averaging (7.01). Dividend Yield (3.57) settles around the average of (2.78) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.24) is also within normal values, averaging (1.52).
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
WFC's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for WFC moved out of oversold territory on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 23 of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 57 cases where WFC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +1.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WFC advanced for three days, in 204 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
WFC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 147 of 270 cases where WFC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WFC as a result. In 38 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WFC turned negative on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 52%.
WFC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WFC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WFC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 21, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.482) is normal, around the industry mean (1.866). WFC has a moderately low P/E Ratio (11.746) as compared to the industry average of (14.888). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.264) is also within normal values, averaging (2.139). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.144) is also within normal values, averaging (3.867).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WFC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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