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Jan 15, 2021
Wells Fargo (WFC, $32.56) beats Q4 earnings estimates; misses revenue expectations

Wells Fargo (WFC, $32.56) beats Q4 earnings estimates; misses revenue expectations

Wells Fargo  reported fourth-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations. However, its revenue came in below forecasts.

The bank’s net income came in at 64 cents a share, vs. the 58 cents expected by analysts polled by FactSet.  The earnings were 60 cents a share in the year-ago quarter.

Revenue fell to $17.93 billion in the quarter, from $19.86 billion in the year-ago quarter. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected $19.347 billion. 

Net interest income was $9.275 billion, down $17 million. Average deposits fell -20% to $205.8 billion.

The bank’s nonperforming assets rose +9% year-over-year to $8.89 billion. Its non-accrual loans increased to $8.73 billion from $5.65 billion mainly due to increases in the commercial real estate, residential mortgage and lease financing portfolios, partially offset by a decrease in the commercial and industrial portfolio - according to the company's statement.

The Federal Reserve has given the nod to several big U.S. banks including Wells Fargo to resume share buybacks in the first quarter of 2021.

 

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Related Ticker: WFC

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


WFC's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for WFC moved out of oversold territory on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 23 of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 57 cases where WFC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Following a +1.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WFC advanced for three days, in 204 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

WFC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 147 of 270 cases where WFC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WFC as a result. In 38 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WFC turned negative on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 52%.

WFC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for WFC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WFC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 21, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.482) is normal, around the industry mean (1.866). WFC has a moderately low P/E Ratio (11.746) as compared to the industry average of (14.888). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.264) is also within normal values, averaging (2.139). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.144) is also within normal values, averaging (3.867).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WFC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 206.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04M to 894.72B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 894.72B. The lowest valued company is BACRP at 1.04M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. FRBT experienced the highest price growth at 3%, while BBVA experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was 17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 49% and the average quarterly volume growth was -22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 68
P/E Growth Rating: 33
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 4
Profit Risk Rating: 21
Seasonality Score: 52 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: BANKS
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General Information

a major bank

Industry MajorBanks

Industry
Major Banks
Address
333 Market Street
Phone
+1 415 371-2921
Employees
205000
Web
https://www.wellsfargo.com
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