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published in Blogs
Nov 06, 2019

Wendy's (WEN, $20.97) beats Q3 expectations; boosts full-year earnings outlook

On Wednesday, Wendy's reported higher-than-expected third-quarter earnings, on the back of strong same-store sales growth.

The fast-food restaurant chain’s adjusted earnings before income, taxes, depreciation and amortization came in at $109.9 million, or 19 cents a share on an adjusted basis. In the year-ago quarter, the figure was $107.2 million, or 17 cents a share. Analysts polled by FactSet had been expecting earnings of 15 cents a share.

Sales of $437.9 million for the quarter exceeded analysts’ expectation of $434.4 million. It is also higher  from the year-ago quarter’s $400.6 million.

Same-store sales in North America rose +4.4%. The systemwide same-store sales grew +5.5%.

For the full year, Wendy's  now expects adjusted earnings growth in the range between negative -1.5% and positive 1.5% (from its prior guidance of between a drop of -3.5% and -6.5%).

The company projects full-year total sales of between $12 billion and $12.5 billion, and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $425 million to $435 million.

 

 

Related Ticker: WEN

Momentum Indicator for WEN turns negative, indicating new downward trend

WEN saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on February 15, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 97 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 97 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WEN turned negative on February 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

WEN moved below its 50-day moving average on February 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for WEN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 24, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WEN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for WEN entered a downward trend on February 21, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WEN advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

WEN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.718) is normal, around the industry mean (7.241). P/E Ratio (19.215) is within average values for comparable stocks, (174.572). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.525) is also within normal values, averaging (1.870). Dividend Yield (0.056) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.752) is also within normal values, averaging (2.407).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. WEN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WEN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.39B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.73K to 212.24B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 212.24B. The lowest valued company is AMHG at 6.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. SHAK experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while CHSN experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was 49%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: -46 (-100 ... +100)
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WENDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operater of fast food restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
One Dave Thomas Boulevard
Phone
+1 614 764-3100
Employees
14500
Web
https://www.wendys.com
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WEN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WEN has been loosely correlated with YUM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WEN jumps, then YUM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To WEN
1D Price
Change %
WEN100%
-0.56%
YUM - WEN
48%
Loosely correlated
+0.96%
JACK - WEN
45%
Loosely correlated
+0.31%
FRSH - WEN
44%
Loosely correlated
-2.98%
QSR - WEN
42%
Loosely correlated
-0.81%
RICK - WEN
42%
Loosely correlated
-0.98%
More
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