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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 30, 2019

WeWork joins the cohort for IPO debuts this year

Over nine years, corporate landlord WeWork has earned a reputation as the go-to shared office start-up with about 401,000 memberships spread out across 425 locations, and now the company has finally filed its IPO to head to the stock market. The IPO will be valued at $47 billion and will be one of the most anticipated public offerings this year.

With trendy décor and tap beer and coffee, the start-up has gone upended the traditional office lease business model. But WeWork's vision comes at a steep cost, as the company more doubled its losses to $1.9 billion last year, even though revenue doubled to $1.8 billion.

To add to the worry, the biggest investor of WeWork, the Japanese technology conglomerate SoftBank with $2 billion put into the business, has opted not to buy a controlling stake in its business.

To advance its services, the company has also bought Meetup, the service for bringing together aficionados of common interests like learning Dutch or knitting, in 2017. It also opened a private school in Manhattan and invested in a wave-pool company.

However, much like other members in the IPO cohort like Lyft (LYFT) and Uber, analysts worry that companies who prioritize ambition than breaking even, runs the risk of suffering when economy worsens. This applies to WeWork as well, whose long shot vision has won the company billions of dollars in funding from deep-pocketed investors, like SoftBank. The main issue would probably be the company getting trapped in long term leases with a drop in number of subscribers.

Related Ticker: LYFT

LYFT's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LYFT turned positive on March 20, 2024. Looking at past instances where LYFT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 05, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LYFT as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LYFT advanced for three days, in of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for LYFT moved out of overbought territory on March 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 59 cases where LYFT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LYFT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

LYFT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LYFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.388) is normal, around the industry mean (28.767). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (148.690). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.798). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.704) is also within normal values, averaging (77.911).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LYFT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.48B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.13T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.13T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. AECX experienced the highest price growth at 137%, while ETAO experienced the biggest fall at -96%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -24% and the average quarterly volume growth was 41%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 77
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT
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