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Oct 16, 2018
What Happens If Oil Hits $100 per Barrel?

What Happens If Oil Hits $100 per Barrel?

Since crude oil prices have surged more than 25% since the beginning of the year, optimistic investors are betting a barrel of oil could cross the $100/barrel mark by year-end.

Impending U.S. sanctions against Iran, coupled with bottlenecks in the U.S. shale industry and the anticipated collapse of Venezuela's economy, have many energy market analysts contemplating an abrupt supply shock -- which in turn could push oil prices higher.

There are several investment implications of higher oil, which could affect everything from consumer spending to Emerging Markets (which rely heavily on imports). The International Monetary Fund believes the global economy could feel the impact as well, as they downgraded the global economic forecast for 2018 and 2019 by 0.2% points as a result of higher prices. 

But perhaps the most relevant sector to watch will be drilling, exploration, and production in the oil and gas sector. Check out some of the related portfolios below for trade ideas. 

Related Ticker: DUK

DUK in +1.86% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on March 02, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where DUK advanced for three days, in of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 300 cases where DUK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for DUK moved out of overbought territory on March 09, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DUK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DUK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DUK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.026) is normal, around the industry mean (142.690). P/E Ratio (20.998) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.837). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.535) is also within normal values, averaging (2.560). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.194) is also within normal values, averaging (72.780).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nextera Energy Inc (NYSE:NEE), Southern Company (The) (NYSE:SO), Dominion Energy (NYSE:D), PG&E Corp (NYSE:PCG).

Industry description

Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electric Utilities Industry is 25.61B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 500 to 193.16B. NEE holds the highest valuation in this group at 193.16B. The lowest valued company is SLTZ at 500.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. UEPCO experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while KEP experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was -91%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -99% and the average quarterly volume growth was -98%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 40
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 47
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
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DUK
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. DUK showed earnings on February 10, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which engages in electric power and gas distribution operations and other energy services

Industry ElectricUtilities

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electric Utilities
Address
525 South Tryon Street
Phone
+1 800 488-3853
Employees
27037
Web
https://www.duke-energy.com
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