What Is the Best Time to Buy Bitcoin?
Has the mystery of wild swing oscillations for the bitcoin price been solved? A very interesting study published by the scientists from Yale University, Professor Aleh Tsyvinski and economics Ph.D. candidate Yukun Liu claims that there are “good and bad times” to buy and sell bitcoins.
There has been thousands and thousands of scientific (and not so scientific) studies on the predictors of the stock market starting with simple moving averages and ending with the correlation between winning teams in Super Bowl and the behavior of S&P 500. However, this study is quite different. While the past performance, as we all know, is not a guarantee of future results, these scientists have discovered two non-trivial statistical phenomena:
1. The “momentum” effect. This is rather simple: if the price of the bitcoin increased for one week very sharply, it will continue to increase next week; the same is true for the price movements in the opposite directions.
2. The “investor attention effect”. More searches on Google are done for the term “bitcoin”, sharper the increase in price. And, for example, the searches for “bitcoin hack” predict a decrease in price. The correlation between such searches is far from insignificant.
Contributor
Serhii Bondarenko is an AI-focused trading strategist and financial markets analyst specializing in the development and application of AI trading bots and autonomous trading agents. His work combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative research to identify market patterns, forecast price movements, and analyze liquidity, volatility, and correlations across global stock markets. Serhii actively publishes market insights, forecasts, and trading frameworks on platforms such as Investing.com and Finextra, with a strong focus on AI-driven decision-making and next-generation algorithmic trading. His research aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading methodologies and advanced artificial intelligence, helping traders and investors navigate complex and rapidly evolving market conditions.
BTC.X in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026
BTC.X broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 61 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 21 of the 61 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 34%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BTC.X moved out of overbought territory on September 04, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 13 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 31%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BTC.X as a result. In 41 of 143 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 29%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BTC.X turned negative on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 66 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 66 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 30%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTC.X declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 30%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
BTC.X moved above its 50-day moving average on August 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BTC.X crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 4 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 18%.
The 50-day moving average for BTC.X moved above the 200-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTC.X advanced for three days, in 128 of 424 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 30%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 145 of 397 cases where BTC.X Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 37%.
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
