What Made PayPal’s (PYPL, $90.69) Shares Surge More than 24% in 2018?

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 58 cases where PYPL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PYPL as a result. In 56 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PYPL just turned positive on September 25, 2026. Looking at past instances where PYPL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

Following a +3.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PYPL advanced for three days, in 184 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

PYPL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PYPL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PYPL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

PYPL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for PYPL entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PYPL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.343) is normal, around the industry mean (3.945). P/E Ratio (10.261) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.459). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.958) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.428) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PYPL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.