What to Expect from Stock Markets after “Liberation Day” April 2, 2025
In this video we present our view on the current market conditions after April 2d, 2025.
https://tickeron.com/app/academy/video/792
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I728kuQUfis&t=4s
The convergence of low liquidity, diminished labor participation, and high interest rates suggests that traditional buy-and-hold strategies may yield only modest long-term returns. With Trump now serving as the current president, his policies—including tariffs reminiscent of those that disrupted markets in the past—continue to shape the economic environment. In such conditions, active trading strategies, particularly those emphasizing hedging and risk management, may offer superior returns compared to a passive approach.
We will cover the following topics
Stock Market Uncertainty
Stock Market Valuations Now vs. Dot Com Bubble
Technical Analysis for S&P 500
Chances of Recession
Stock Market Expectations for 2025
Leading Indicators
AI Bubble of 2023 and 2024
Making a Case for Trading vs. Investing
As we are all in 2025, the investment landscape is poised for significant transformation.
Disclaimers and Limitation
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
QQQ's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 1 day
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QQQ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
QQQ moved above its 50-day moving average on August 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for QQQ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QQQ advanced for three days, in of 372 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QQQ as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QQQ turned negative on August 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QQQ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
QQQ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for QQQ entered a downward trend on August 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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