GET DAILY SIGNALSWhat to Expect from Stock Markets after “Liberation Day” April 2, 2025
In this video we present our view on the current market conditions after April 2d, 2025.
https://tickeron.com/app/academy/video/792
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I728kuQUfis&t=4s
The convergence of low liquidity, diminished labor participation, and high interest rates suggests that traditional buy-and-hold strategies may yield only modest long-term returns. With Trump now serving as the current president, his policies—including tariffs reminiscent of those that disrupted markets in the past—continue to shape the economic environment. In such conditions, active trading strategies, particularly those emphasizing hedging and risk management, may offer superior returns compared to a passive approach.
We will cover the following topics
Stock Market Uncertainty
Stock Market Valuations Now vs. Dot Com Bubble
Technical Analysis for S&P 500
Chances of Recession
Stock Market Expectations for 2025
Leading Indicators
AI Bubble of 2023 and 2024
Making a Case for Trading vs. Investing
As we are all in 2025, the investment landscape is poised for significant transformation.
Disclaimers and Limitation
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
QQQ in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026
The 10-day moving average for QQQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QQQ as a result. In 73 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QQQ turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 89%.
QQQ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QQQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QQQ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QQQ advanced for three days, in 313 of 368 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
QQQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 316 of 352 cases where QQQ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
Category LargeGrowth
Advertisement