What to Expect from Stock Markets after “Liberation Day” April 2, 2025
In this video we present our view on the current market conditions after April 2d, 2025.
https://tickeron.com/app/academy/video/792
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I728kuQUfis&t=4s
The convergence of low liquidity, diminished labor participation, and high interest rates suggests that traditional buy-and-hold strategies may yield only modest long-term returns. With Trump now serving as the current president, his policies—including tariffs reminiscent of those that disrupted markets in the past—continue to shape the economic environment. In such conditions, active trading strategies, particularly those emphasizing hedging and risk management, may offer superior returns compared to a passive approach.
We will cover the following topics
Stock Market Uncertainty
Stock Market Valuations Now vs. Dot Com Bubble
Technical Analysis for S&P 500
Chances of Recession
Stock Market Expectations for 2025
Leading Indicators
AI Bubble of 2023 and 2024
Making a Case for Trading vs. Investing
As we are all in 2025, the investment landscape is poised for significant transformation.
Disclaimers and Limitation
QQQ in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on February 03, 2026
QQQ moved below its 50-day moving average on February 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 33 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QQQ as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QQQ turned negative on February 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QQQ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QQQ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QQQ advanced for three days, in of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
QQQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 388 cases where QQQ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
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