Shares of FIG, the AI-powered collaborative design platform company Figma, Inc., tumbled roughly 19.4% on Thursday after the company's second-quarter earnings report — released after Wednesday's close — ignited a fierce sell-off. The stock, which closed Wednesday's regular session at $28.15 following a 3.8% gain, cratered to approximately $22.68 in Thursday trading. Despite posting revenue of $370.1 million that surged 48% year over year and adjusted earnings per share of $0.08 that doubled analyst estimates, investors fixated on soaring AI investment costs, a GAAP operating loss, and annual profit guidance that fell shy of expectations.
At first glance, Figma's second-quarter results appeared robust. Revenue climbed 48% year over year to $370.1 million, comfortably surpassing the $351.6 million consensus estimate. Adjusted earnings per share of $0.08 doubled the $0.04 Wall Street had projected. The company also raised its full-year revenue guidance by roughly $40 million to a range of $1.463 billion to $1.467 billion, well above the prior forecast and ahead of analyst expectations.
Yet the market seized on what lay beneath the headline numbers. GAAP operating expenses nearly doubled to $426.9 million from the year-ago period, driven largely by a more-than-doubling of research and development costs to $167.3 million. This spending surge pushed the company to a GAAP operating loss of $117.3 million — a sharp reversal from a modest $2 million operating profit a year earlier. Stock-based compensation alone totaled $147.6 million. Free cash flow margin contracted to 14% from 24% a year ago, intensifying concerns that Figma's AI ambitions are coming at a steep and growing cost.
Adding fuel to the sell-off, Figma's full-year adjusted operating income guidance of $125 million to $135 million landed at the lower end of the $133.2 million consensus estimate. For a stock that had rallied approximately 13.7% in the week leading into earnings — reflecting elevated expectations — the lack of a meaningful profitability upgrade was treated as a disappointment. Third-quarter revenue guidance of $373 million to $375 million, while slightly above consensus, was similarly not viewed as a significant upside surprise. The combination of robust top-line growth with underwhelming profit visibility proved toxic for shares.
Figma has aggressively positioned itself as an AI-native design and product development platform, integrating AI features across its suite — from Figma Make to AI Credits, a consumption-based monetization model introduced in March. While management highlighted that over 50% of paid customers with annual recurring revenue above $10,000 now use the Figma Agent AI tool weekly, and that net dollar retention held strong at 136%, investors appear increasingly skeptical that AI spending will translate into durable margin expansion anytime soon.
CFO Praveer Melwani noted on the earnings call that the company is "hiring fewer people today than we originally had planned" because AI tools are augmenting existing teams. Yet for the market, the immediate math of doubling R&D expenditures overwhelmed the longer-term efficiency narrative. The episode echoes broader market anxiety across the software sector about whether heavy AI investments will generate commensurate returns or simply compress margins indefinitely.
The sell-off in FIG did not occur in isolation. Software stocks broadly came under pressure, with ADBE (Adobe), CRM (Salesforce), NOW (ServiceNow), and INTU (Intuit) all declining in sympathy as Figma's results reinforced sector-wide concerns about AI cost structures. Wednesday's regular session had already seen elevated volume of approximately 45.7 million shares — more than double the 20-day average of roughly 20 million — as traders positioned ahead of the report.
The magnitude of Thursday's decline pushed Figma shares deep into negative territory for the year, extending a drawdown that has already seen the stock fall more than 75% from its post-IPO peak. The stock now trades closer to its 52-week low of $16.60 than to its 52-week high, reflecting the persistent pressure that AI-disruption fears have exerted on design-software valuations throughout 2026.
Investor attention now turns to whether Figma can demonstrate that its AI spending is laying the groundwork for reaccelerating profitability rather than simply inflating the cost base. Key metrics to watch in the coming quarters include the trajectory of AI Credits adoption, net dollar retention trends, and operating margin progression. The competitive landscape also remains a focal point, with AI-native design tools from major platform players continuing to emerge. Figma's ability to convert its collaboration-platform advantages into sustainable earnings growth will likely determine whether the post-earnings sell-off marks a capitulation bottom or merely another leg lower in a difficult year for the stock.
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The RSI Indicator for FIG moved out of oversold territory on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 72%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FIG as a result. In 25 of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 35%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FIG just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where FIG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 15 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 38%.
The 50-day moving average for FIG moved above the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +4.10% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIG advanced for three days, in 93 of 234 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 40%.
FIG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
FIG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FIG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 27%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.
The Aroon Indicator for FIG entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FIG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.305) is normal, around the industry mean (51.922). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.952) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.551) is also within normal values, averaging (70.810).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FIG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry PackagedSoftware