GET DAILY SIGNALSWhy Is Spire Global (SPIR) Stock Up +0.36% Today?
Key Takeaways
- SPIR shares rose 0.36% to $13.94, adding $0.05 from the prior session's close of $13.89.
- The modest advance signals stabilization following a sharp selloff triggered by August's mixed second-quarter earnings report.
- Investor attention remains fixed on the company's NOAA contract pipeline, including an eight-figure microwave-sounding award under active negotiation.
- Trading volume was well below average, indicating limited conviction behind the up-move.
- Traders are watching for the timing of a NOAA radio occultation bridge award and third-quarter revenue execution.
Opening Summary
Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) is a provider of space-based data, analytics, and intelligence, operating a constellation of nanosatellites that deliver weather, maritime, aviation, and radio-frequency geolocation data to government and commercial customers. In the latest completed trading session, the stock edged higher by 0.36%, closing at $13.94 versus a prior close of $13.89. The muted gain reflects a market still digesting the company's second-quarter results and reassessing its near-term contract catalysts rather than any single headline driver.
Post-Earnings Stabilization
The session's small advance comes roughly a week after Spire Global reported mixed second-quarter 2026 results. Revenue of $18.0 million came in below consensus estimates, while the company beat on adjusted earnings per share. Non-GAAP gross margin contracted to 38% from 52% a year earlier, pressured by the cancellation for convenience of the WildFireSat contract. Management nonetheless reaffirmed full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $75 million to $85 million and highlighted that more than 85% of the midpoint was under contract as of the end of July. After an initial post-earnings pullback, the modest rebound in SPIR suggests investors are selectively rewarding the company's stronger core growth narrative, even as near-term margin and cash-burn concerns persist.
NOAA Contract Pipeline in Focus
A central driver of sentiment is the company's expanding opportunity set with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Management has indicated it is actively bidding across a NOAA portfolio valued at more than $150 million, including an eight-figure hyperspectral microwave sounding opportunity now in negotiation following successful on-orbit validation. A separate radio occultation contract extension, valued at up to $5 million, was signed in late July. The expectation of a near-term radio occultation bridge award — with a longer-term follow-on anticipated to exceed the prior $11.2 million annual value — has kept speculative interest in the name elevated, contributing to the stock's firmness on an otherwise quiet trading day.
Market Context and Trading Activity
The up-move in SPIR was not accompanied by heavy participation. Trading volume in the session was well below the stock's average, suggesting the gain reflected incremental positioning rather than a broad, conviction-driven rally. Technically, the shares remain below their 50-day and 200-day moving averages, leaving the stock in a consolidation pattern after its recent decline. Broader space and satellite-data names traded in a similarly range-bound fashion, with sector sentiment shaped more by contract pipeline developments and government budget headlines than by index-level movement.
What Comes Next for SPIR
Looking ahead, investors will be monitoring the timing of NOAA contract awards, particularly the radio occultation bridge award and the larger microwave-sounding opportunity that management has suggested could be finalized within the near term. Third-quarter execution will also be in focus, as the company has guided for the bulk of its second-half revenue step-up to arrive in the fourth quarter. Risks include continued gross-margin pressure, negative adjusted EBITDA, and the company's dependence on government procurement timing. European defense partnerships and expanding radio-frequency geolocation demand represent potential upside, but the path to sustained profitability and positive operating cash flow remains a key uncertainty.
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SPIR's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for SPIR moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 30 of the 31 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 56 cases where SPIR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPIR just turned positive on November 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPIR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Following a +22.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPIR advanced for three days, in 224 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
SPIR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPIR as a result. In 68 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPIR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Aroon Indicator for SPIR entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.345) is normal, around the industry mean (5.887). P/E Ratio (-2.973) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.618). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.946). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.378) is also within normal values, averaging (9.907).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SPIR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPIR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
Industry description
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High and low price notable news
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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Industry OfficeEquipmentSupplies
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