Will the downtrend continue for Fossil Group (FOSL)?
Fashion retailer Fossil Group (Nasdaq: FOSL) has been trending lower since hitting a 52-week high in June. The downward trend has been rather well organized and a trend channel has formed that defines the various cycles within the overall trend. The stock is close to the upper rail of the channel at this time.
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We also see that the upper rail is in close proximity to the 50-day moving average and that trend line could act as an additional layer of resistance. The daily stochastic readings are close to overbought territory and did just perform a bearish crossover.
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The Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Fossil on March 1. The prediction had a confidence level of 70% and previous predictions have been correct 75% of the time.
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Fossil’s fundamentals are somewhat mixed. The earnings have been flat over the last three years, but they jumped by 58% in the most recent earnings report. Sales have declined at a rate of 7% per year over the last three years and they were down by 15% in the most recent quarterly report.
The management efficiency measurements are below average as well. The return on equity is a paltry 3.6% and the profit margin is -0.1%.
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Notable companies
The most notable companies in this group are Nordstrom (null:JWN), Macy's (NYSE:M), Kohls Corp (NYSE:KSS).
Industry description
A department store sells a wide variety of consumer goods under different “departments,” including (but not necessarily limited to) apparel, household appliances, home furnishings, personal care products, cosmetics, consumer electronics. During healthy macroeconomic conditions, consumers typically won’t shy away from big-ticket purchases; but during a downturn, consumer spending might get limited to the most necessary/daily essentials. Several department stores purchase items on bulk from manufacturers for resale to consumers at a profit. Some of the largest department stores companies in the U.S. include Kohl’s Corporation, Macy’s Inc., and Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.
Market Cap
The average market capitalization across the Department Stores Industry is 5.16B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 208.1K to 12.34T. MHRTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 12.34T. The lowest valued company is BONT at 208.1K.
High and low price notable news
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. KSS experienced the highest price growth at 1%, while WLWHY experienced the biggest fall at -9%.
Volume
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was 3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 0% and the average quarterly volume growth was 46%
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Valuation Rating: 33
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)