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Mar 31, 2022
XPeng (XPEV, $28.44) posts narrower-than-expected loss in Q4

XPeng (XPEV, $28.44) posts narrower-than-expected loss in Q4

Chinese electric vehicle maker XPeng posted a fourth-quarter loss that was narrower than analysts’ expectations.

XPeng incurred a loss of -$202 million in the quarter, or -22 cents on an adjusted per-share basis, compared to -33 cents a share anticipated by analysts polled by FactSet.

Revenue  for the quarter came in at $1.34 billion.

The gross profit margin on XPeng’s vehicle business fell to 10.9% in the fourth quarter from 13.6% in the third quarter, amid  higher costs due to supply chain issues and rising commodity prices. But it was still a substantial improvement over the 3.5% vehicle margin in the fourth quarter of 2020.

Global chip shortages kept XPeng’s EVs in relatively short supply amid high demand, thereby giving the company some additional pricing power against rising costs.

The company expects to deliver between 33,500 and 34,000 vehicles this quarter, implying a growth of more than 150% compared to the first quarter of 2021.

CEO He Xiaopeng said that the company is working to further ramp up production further in 2022. XPeng is expecting to deliver more than 10,000 of its flagship P7 sedans in a single month, and is hoping that  its new P5 sedan would deliver  similar production numbers later this year.

 

Related Ticker: XPEV

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


XPEV in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on August 24, 2026

XPEV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 30 cases where XPEV's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XPEV's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPEV advanced for three days, in of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 24, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XPEV as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XPEV turned negative on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPEV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for XPEV entered a downward trend on September 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.606) is normal, around the industry mean (8.882). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (579.688). XPEV's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.056). XPEV has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (0.931) is also within normal values, averaging (3.611).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. XPEV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XPEV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 70.48B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.72K to 1.4T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.4T. The lowest valued company is ZAPPF at 3.72K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20%. FLYE experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while PSNY experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 20% and the average quarterly volume growth was 112%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 89
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -31 (-100 ... +100)
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