XPeng (XPEV, $28.44) posts narrower-than-expected loss in Q4
Chinese electric vehicle maker XPeng posted a fourth-quarter loss that was narrower than analysts’ expectations.
XPeng incurred a loss of -$202 million in the quarter, or -22 cents on an adjusted per-share basis, compared to -33 cents a share anticipated by analysts polled by FactSet.
Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.34 billion.
The gross profit margin on XPeng’s vehicle business fell to 10.9% in the fourth quarter from 13.6% in the third quarter, amid higher costs due to supply chain issues and rising commodity prices. But it was still a substantial improvement over the 3.5% vehicle margin in the fourth quarter of 2020.
Global chip shortages kept XPeng’s EVs in relatively short supply amid high demand, thereby giving the company some additional pricing power against rising costs.
The company expects to deliver between 33,500 and 34,000 vehicles this quarter, implying a growth of more than 150% compared to the first quarter of 2021.
CEO He Xiaopeng said that the company is working to further ramp up production further in 2022. XPeng is expecting to deliver more than 10,000 of its flagship P7 sedans in a single month, and is hoping that its new P5 sedan would deliver similar production numbers later this year.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
XPEV sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
XPEV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 29, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPEV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for XPEV entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPEV advanced for three days, in 220 of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
XPEV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.369) is normal, around the industry mean (8.703). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (493.775). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.878) is also within normal values, averaging (2.589).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. XPEV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XPEV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a designer, developer, and manufacturer smart electric vehicles
Industry MotorVehicles
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