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Jun 03, 2023

XPEV's Returns Soar 5.62% with Tickeron's Robot Factory Operations

Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis v.2 (TA) AI trading robot has stood out as one of the best performers in our robot factory, showcasing its prowess by generating a remarkable 5.62% gain while trading XPEV over the course of the previous month. However, recent technical indicators and earnings results raise questions about the stock's future prospects.

XPEV, a prominent stock in the electric vehicle industry, experienced a notable shift in momentum on May 15, 2023, as its Momentum Indicator dropped below the 0 level. This indicator's movement suggests that the stock might be entering a new downward phase. Traders are advised to take note of this signal and consider selling the stock or exploring put options to hedge their positions.

To gain further insights into the potential impact of this bearish signal, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor analyzed 45 similar instances where the Momentum Indicator turned negative. Remarkably, in 41 out of those 45 cases, the stock continued to decline in the subsequent days. This statistical evidence provides a compelling indication that the odds of XPEV experiencing a further decline are as high as 90%.

Examining the latest earnings report released on May 24, it is evident that XPEV's performance did not meet market expectations. The reported earnings per share stood at -127 cents, surpassing the estimated value of -191 cents. This positive surprise suggests that the company's financials fared better than anticipated. However, it is crucial to note that negative earnings still persist, albeit to a lesser extent than predicted.

Considering the number of outstanding shares at 4.32 million, the current market capitalization of XPEV amounts to a substantial 6.85 billion dollars. The market capitalization figure provides an overview of the company's total value in the stock market and is an essential metric for investors to assess the company's overall worth.

Despite the impressive gains generated by the Day Trader AI trading robot during its recent trading of XPEV, caution is warranted due to the bearish signals identified through technical analysis. The drop below the 0 level in the Momentum Indicator, coupled with historical data indicating a high likelihood of further decline, suggests a potentially challenging period ahead for XPEV.

Furthermore, while the recent earnings report showcased improved performance relative to estimates, the company still reported negative earnings. Investors should remain vigilant and evaluate the company's progress closely, taking into account both technical indicators and fundamental aspects before making any trading decisions.

Related Ticker: XPEV

XPEV in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on April 07, 2025

XPEV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 27 cases where XPEV's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XPEV's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XPEV just turned positive on April 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where XPEV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPEV advanced for three days, in of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XPEV as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XPEV moved below its 50-day moving average on April 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XPEV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 09, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPEV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for XPEV entered a downward trend on April 17, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPEV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.434) is normal, around the industry mean (6.217). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.826). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). XPEV has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (1.567) is also within normal values, averaging (78.608).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XPEV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 34.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.49M to 559.85B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 559.85B. The lowest valued company is EVTGF at 2.49M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. FFAI experienced the highest price growth at 51%, while MULN experienced the biggest fall at -32%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 67%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
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a designer, developer, and manufacturer smart electric vehicles

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