Google’s parent company Alphabet’s stock fell more than 8% on Tuesday, and the company blames YouTube -- which saw a fall in ad revenue growth of just 15% versus 24% last year.
In Q1 2018, Google began making changes to YouTube’s algorithms that were designed to prevent toxic content from appearing in the recommended videos feed. The aim was to make it harder for users to find conspiracy videos, fake news and such similar waste that repel advertisers. Instead, the algorithm will guide users to more authoritative sources bringing accurate information. Additionally, YouTube has removed millions of channels and videos from its platform that are detrimental to its content policies, for example Alex Jones.
But this proved to potentially be counter-productive, as all the negative content kept engagement high. Investors believe this may not be the only cause of ad revenue decline and the subsequent hit to the stock price. Many suspect other undisclosed factors that could be at work, but YouTube’s sudden shift to responsibility and safety and compliance with content regulations seem to be the top cause as of now.
The 50-day moving average for GOOG moved above the 200-day moving average on May 03, 2023. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOG advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 320 cases where GOOG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOOG moved out of overbought territory on June 07, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 71 cases where GOOG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 07, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOOG as a result. In of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GOOG turned negative on June 02, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOOG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 06, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. GOOG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.984) is normal, around the industry mean (21.660). P/E Ratio (27.322) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.639). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.525) is also within normal values, averaging (3.365). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.631) is also within normal values, averaging (9.533).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a holding company with interests in software, health care, transportation and other technologies
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GOOG has been closely correlated with GOOGL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 100% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GOOG jumps, then GOOGL could also see price increases.
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