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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 02, 2019

YouTube’s sudden shift to regulatory compliance hits Alphabet (GOOGL): $70 billion

Google’s parent company Alphabet’s stock fell more than 8% on Tuesday, and the company blames YouTube -- which saw a fall in ad revenue growth of just 15% versus 24% last year.

In Q1 2018, Google began making changes to YouTube’s algorithms that were designed to prevent toxic content from appearing in the recommended videos feed. The aim was to make it harder for users to find conspiracy videos, fake news and such similar waste that repel advertisers. Instead, the algorithm will guide users to more authoritative sources bringing accurate information. Additionally, YouTube has removed millions of channels and videos from its platform that are detrimental to its content policies, for example Alex Jones.

But this proved to potentially be counter-productive, as all the negative content kept engagement high. Investors believe this may not be the only cause of ad revenue decline and the subsequent hit to the stock price. Many suspect other undisclosed factors that could be at work, but YouTube’s sudden shift to responsibility and safety and compliance with content regulations seem to be the top cause as of now.

Related Ticker: GOOG

GOOG's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for GOOG moved out of oversold territory on March 07, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 15 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 15 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 13, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOOG as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOOG just turned positive on March 13, 2024. Looking at past instances where GOOG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GOOG moved above its 50-day moving average on March 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOOG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOG advanced for three days, in of 361 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GOOG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for GOOG entered a downward trend on March 14, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. GOOG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.667) is normal, around the industry mean (17.551). P/E Ratio (26.197) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.617). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.589) is also within normal values, averaging (3.433). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.289) is also within normal values, averaging (27.591).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 59.87B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.11K to 1.88T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.88T. The lowest valued company is MSEZ at 1.11K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 36%. MRPT experienced the highest price growth at 147%, while RWRDP experienced the biggest fall at -75%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TECHNOLOGY ETFs
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A.I.Advisor
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a holding company with interests in software, health care, transportation and other technologies

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

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Internet Software Or Services
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