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published in Blogs
Oct 31, 2019

Yum Brands (YUM,$103.34) misses Q3 earnings expectations

On Wednesday, Yum Brands posted quarterly earnings that missed analysts’ expectations.

The company, which owns several restaurant-chains such as Taco Bell, KFC and Pizza Hut, reported third quarter adjusted earnings of 80 cents a share, compared to analysts’ estimate of 94 cents.

Net revenue of $1.34 billion in the quarter was almost in line with the $1.344 billion expected by analysts. But the figure was -4% lower from the year-ago quarter.

According to Yum, changing the fair value of its GrubHub investment pulled down earnings by 15 cents per share. Last year, Yum bought a 3% stake in the third-party delivery app.

Yum’s Pizza Hut reported flat same-store sales growth, falling short of Wall Street’s estimates of +1.5%.  Last quarter, executives said that Pizza Hut could shut down more than 400 stores to restructure franchisees’ businesses.

KFC narrowly missed same-store sales expectations. In the U.S., same-store sales declined by -1%.

However, Yum’s Taco Bell chain experienced same-store sales growth of +4%, which is higher than expectations of +3.5%. Executives said the chain had its fastest third quarter in five years with respect to service times. 

During the quarter, Yum opened 389 net new restaurants across all three chains.

Related Ticker: YUM

YUM in -0.83% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on March 01, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where YUM declined for three days, in of 261 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for YUM moved out of overbought territory on March 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

YUM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 14, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 07, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on YUM as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for YUM just turned positive on February 12, 2024. Looking at past instances where YUM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

YUM moved above its 50-day moving average on February 07, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 50-day moving average for YUM moved above the 200-day moving average on February 14, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where YUM advanced for three days, in of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (7.361). P/E Ratio (24.762) is within average values for comparable stocks, (179.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.307) is also within normal values, averaging (1.936). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.574) is also within normal values, averaging (2.418).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. YUM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.48B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.73K to 211.04B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 211.04B. The lowest valued company is AMHG at 6.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. SG experienced the highest price growth at 43%, while RRGB experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -43%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -60% and the average quarterly volume growth was -16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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YUMDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company that owns and franchises quick-service restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
1441 Gardiner Lane
Phone
+1 502 874-8300
Employees
35000
Web
https://www.yum.com
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YUM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, YUM has been closely correlated with MCD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if YUM jumps, then MCD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To YUM
1D Price
Change %
YUM100%
-0.70%
MCD - YUM
67%
Closely correlated
-0.53%
SBUX - YUM
58%
Loosely correlated
-1.80%
QSR - YUM
52%
Loosely correlated
+0.08%
WEN - YUM
48%
Loosely correlated
-0.55%
FRSH - YUM
47%
Loosely correlated
-0.88%
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