Yum! Brands edges past Wall Street expectations for the first quarter 2019.
The owner of several fast food chains reported first-quarter adjusted earnings of 82 cents a share, which surpassed analysts' expectations of 81 cents.
On an unadjusted basis, Yum’s first-quarter net income dropped -39% to $262 million (or 83 cents per share), from $433 million, (or $1.27 per share) of the year-ago quarter. Yum’s investment in 3% of Grubhub subtracted 5 cents per share off its earnings during the quarter.
Total revenue of $1.25 billion was in line with Wall Street's estimate. However, the figure was lower from the year-ago quarter’s $1.37 billion. Worldwide same-store sales for the quarter increased +4% year-over-year (compared to analysts’ expectation of +2.7%). Among the restaurants owned by the company, Pizza Hut’s same-store sales broke even (compared to analysts’ expected +0.4%), Taco Bell’s grew +4% (compared to analysts’ expected +4.6%) and KFC’s increased +5% (compared to analysts’ expected +3%).
CEO Greg Creed credited the quarter’s strengths largely to the KFC division and Taco Bell U.S. According to Creed's call with analysts, the international division’s same-store sales growth lagged behind that of its domestic market.
According to Yum, it bought back 1.1 million shares worth $106 million at an average price of $94 a share during the quarter.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
YUM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 89 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 41 of the 89 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 46%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for YUM just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where YUM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 18 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 37%.
YUM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for YUM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
Following a +0.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where YUM advanced for three days, in 147 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 67 of 181 cases where YUM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 37%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for YUM moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 13 of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 43%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 64 cases where YUM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where YUM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
YUM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. YUM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-5.766) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.457). P/E Ratio (18.793) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.628). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.725) is also within normal values, averaging (7.754). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.413) is also within normal values, averaging (2.618).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company that owns and franchises quick-service restaurants
Industry Restaurants