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Aug 04, 2022

Yum! (YUM, $119.84) misses Q2 earnings expectations

Yum! Brands, Inc. posted its second quarter  earnings that fell short of analysts’ expectations.

The fast food company’s earnings excluding special items fell -9% from the year-ago quarter to $1.05 per share, compared to the $1.10 expected by analysts polled by Thomson Reuters.

GAAP earnings came in at $0.77, which is -40% lower year-over-year.

Revenues rose +2% year-over-year to $1.64 billion, in line with analysts’ estimate. Worldwide system sales excluding foreign currency translation climbed +3%. Global same-store sales growth came in at +1%;  excluding China, it was  +6%.

Yum indicated that  consumers globally are becoming increasingly cautious, inducing the restaurant company to focus more on value offerings.

“If you look at the U.S., I think what’s happened over the last quarter is that the low-income consumer pulling back has become more pronounced,” Yum CEO David Gibbs said. However, he also added that it was “probably a bit of an oversimplification” to say that higher-income consumers are absorbing inflation better than those with lower incomes.

Related Ticker: YUM

YUM in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 31, 2024

YUM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 41 cases where YUM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 59 cases where YUM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on YUM as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for YUM just turned positive on November 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where YUM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

YUM moved above its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where YUM advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for YUM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where YUM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for YUM entered a downward trend on November 06, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (10.108). P/E Ratio (25.116) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.603). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.035) is also within normal values, averaging (1.770). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.288) is also within normal values, averaging (8.755).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. YUM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 8.12B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.74K to 210.9B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 210.9B. The lowest valued company is BFICQ at 2.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. ODDAF experienced the highest price growth at 29%, while CHSN experienced the biggest fall at -22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
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YUM
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published General Information

General Information

a company that owns and franchises quick-service restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
1441 Gardiner Lane
Phone
+1 502 874-8300
Employees
35000
Web
https://www.yum.com
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