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Sep 01, 2020
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Zoom (ZM, $325.10) beats fiscal Q2 earnings; analysts boost outlook

Zoom (ZM, $325.10) beats fiscal Q2 earnings; analysts boost outlook

Zoom Video Communications posted its fiscal second quarter results that crushed analysts’ estimates.

The video conferencing tech company’s non-GAAP earnings came in at 92 cents per share, well above consensus of 45 cents. 

Sales surged  +355% year-over-year  to $663.5 million, exceeding  analyst consensus of $500 million.

For the current quarter, Zoom projects total revenue to be within a range of $685 to $690 million. It expects  non-GAAP income of 73 or 74 cents. 

Looking farther ahead, Zoom raised its full-fiscal year sales guidance to between $2.37 billion and $2.39 billion (reflecting an expected year-over-year increase of 281% to 284%), versus prior guidance of $1.775 and $1.8 billion. It projects full-year  earnings of between $2.40 and $2.47.

Zoom’s prospects get bolstered by its widespread usage especially amid global rapid adoption of work-from-home practice due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Some analysts boosted their outlook on Zoom, following the earnings report. Goldman Sachs analyst Heather Bellini raised her rating on Zoom shares to neutral from sell, and also hiked her one-year price target to $402. 

BTIG analyst Matt VanVliet boosted rating on  the shares to buy from neutral with a $500 price target.

Citi analyst Walter Pritchard raising his price target to $377 from $217, but kept his rating neutral.

Tickeron's analysis shows: ZM in +10.32% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on August 31, 2020

As a Bullish sign, keep an eye on this company's ticker for future growth. Considering data from situations where ZM advanced for three days, in 83 of 92 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Current price $325.10 is above $275.87 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 07/30/20 - 08/31/20, the price experienced a +30% Uptrend. During the week of 08/24/20 - 08/31/20, the stock enjoyed a +15% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on August 18, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 19 of 23 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where ZM's MACD histogram became positive, in 7 of 12 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 4 of 6 similar backtested cases where ZM's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

The lower Bollinger Band was broken -- a price increase is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which indicates a buy or call consideration for traders. In 4 of 5 cases where ZM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 15 of 21 cases where ZM Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 71%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 82%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.81 to 1.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ZM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ZM's P/B Ratio (101.68) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.87). ZM has a moderately high P/E Ratio (1889.02) as compared to the industry average of (302.19). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.90) is also within normal values, averaging (7.18). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (0.34) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (48.14) is also within normal values, averaging (15.19).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ZM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

 

Related Ticker: ZM

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


ZM's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ZM turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where ZM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ZM as a result. In 61 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The 10-day moving average for ZM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.

Following a +0.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZM advanced for three days, in 187 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 126 of 186 cases where ZM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 51 cases where ZM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

ZM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

ZM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ZM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.465) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.586). P/E Ratio (8.682) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.399). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.393) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.562) is also within normal values, averaging (70.854).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ZM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.51B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 271.26B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 271.26B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. AEYE experienced the highest price growth at 61%, while YMT experienced the biggest fall at -45%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 42%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -40%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of video-first communications platform and application

Industry PackagedSoftware

Industry
Packaged Software
Address
55 Almaden Boulevard
Phone
+1 888 799-9666
Employees
7438
Web
https://www.zoom.com
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Zoom (ZM, $325.10) beats fiscal Q2 earnings; analysts boost outlook