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AAL vs UPAR
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AAL is a Buy and UPAR is a Hold.
AAL's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAL turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where AAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AAL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 29 of 41 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AAL as a result. In 60 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
AAL moved above its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AAL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +9.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAL advanced for three days, in 213 of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for AAL moved below the 200-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
AAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AAL entered a downward trend on October 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AAL's P/B Ratio (-2.197) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.379). AAL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-26.898) as compared to the industry average of (6.762). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.114) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.144) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 41 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.
UPAR's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for UPAR moved out of oversold territory on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 29 of the 34 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 55 cases where UPAR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +1.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPAR advanced for three days, in 240 of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
UPAR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 220 of 274 cases where UPAR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UPAR as a result. In 51 of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UPAR turned negative on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 77%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPAR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
AAL | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 41 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| AAL | UPAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 13 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 2 days ago 80% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AAL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while .
- AAL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AAL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- AAL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AAL (@Airlines) experienced а +10.06% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was +5.74%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.91%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
AAL is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (+5.74% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
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AAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAL has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AAL jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.
UPAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that UPAR and AAL have been poorly correlated (+17% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that UPAR and AAL's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UPAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPAR | 100% | -2.08% | ||
| AAL - UPAR | 17% Poorly correlated | -0.35% | ||
| TTE - UPAR | 15% Poorly correlated | -0.14% | ||
| NXT - UPAR | 9% Poorly correlated | -4.83% | ||
| FERG - UPAR | 9% Poorly correlated | -0.19% | ||
| SEDG - UPAR | 8% Poorly correlated | -6.51% | ||
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