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AAOI vs QCOM
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AAOI is a Hold and QCOM is a Buy.
AAOI's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for AAOI moved out of oversold territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 60 cases where AAOI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +14.29% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAOI advanced for three days, in 235 of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AAOI as a result. In 73 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AAOI turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.
AAOI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for AAOI moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAOI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
AAOI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AAOI entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.515) is normal, around the industry mean (7.224). AAOI has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-89.675) as compared to the industry average of (5.312). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.790) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.114) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.834) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAOI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAOI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
QCOM in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026
QCOM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 37 cases where QCOM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +4.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QCOM advanced for three days, in 219 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for QCOM moved out of overbought territory on September 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 87%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 63 cases where QCOM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QCOM as a result. In 64 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QCOM turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.
QCOM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for QCOM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QCOM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for QCOM entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. QCOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.364) is normal, around the industry mean (6.106). P/E Ratio (18.663) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.186). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.832) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.513) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
AAOI | QCOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 36 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AAOI's Valuation (9) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for QCOM (59). This means that AAOI’s stock grew somewhat faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's Profit vs Risk Rating (66) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as AAOI (72). This means that QCOM’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's SMR Rating (31) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AAOI (92). This means that QCOM’s stock grew somewhat faster than AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as AAOI (64). This means that QCOM’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
AAOI's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as QCOM (36). This means that AAOI’s stock grew similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
| AAOI | QCOM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 5 days ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 87% | 6 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 21 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 65% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AAOI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while QCOM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AAOI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AAOI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while QCOM’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AAOI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 8 bearish.
Price Growth
AAOI (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а +2.28% price change this week, while QCOM (@Semiconductors) price change was -6.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was +2.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
AAOI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (+2.15% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
@Semiconductors (-0.34% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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AAOI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAOI has been closely correlated with LITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AAOI jumps, then LITE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AAOI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 100% | -12.80% | ||
| LITE - AAOI | 70% Closely correlated | -8.57% | ||
| CIEN - AAOI | 57% Loosely correlated | -8.22% | ||
| VIAV - AAOI | 56% Loosely correlated | -10.20% | ||
| ADTN - AAOI | 49% Loosely correlated | -5.91% | ||
| LTRX - AAOI | 47% Loosely correlated | -5.80% | ||
More | ||||
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