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AAOI vs VIAV
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AAOI is a Hold and VIAV is a Hold.
AAOI's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for AAOI entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 227 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 198 of the 227 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AAOI as a result. In 74 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AAOI turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.
AAOI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for AAOI moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAOI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
AAOI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for AAOI's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +14.29% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAOI advanced for three days, in 235 of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 10 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.387) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (-60.896) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.681). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.790) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.113) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.834) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 24 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAOI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAOI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
VIAV in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for VIAV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VIAV as a result. In 53 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VIAV turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
VIAV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for VIAV moved below the 200-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VIAV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for VIAV entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VIAV's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +8.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VIAV advanced for three days, in 238 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
VIAV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 4 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.480) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). VIAV's P/E Ratio (-202.308) is considerably lower than the industry average of (5.681). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.470) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.113) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.208) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. VIAV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AAOI | VIAV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 10 Undervalued | 4 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 24 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VIAV's Valuation (4) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AAOI (10) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's Profit vs Risk Rating (66) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AAOI (78) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's SMR Rating (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AAOI (92) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AAOI (65) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
AAOI's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for VIAV (98) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that AAOI’s stock grew significantly faster than VIAV’s over the last 12 months.
| AAOI | VIAV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 87% | 9 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 72% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AAOI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while VIAV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AAOI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- VIAV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AAOI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VIAV’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AAOI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- VIAV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
AAOI (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а -27.91% price change this week, while VIAV (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was -14.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was -17.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -23.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
AAOI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
VIAV is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (-17.98% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
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AAOI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAOI has been closely correlated with LITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AAOI jumps, then LITE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AAOI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 100% | -7.35% | ||
| LITE - AAOI | 70% Closely correlated | -7.85% | ||
| CIEN - AAOI | 57% Loosely correlated | -9.28% | ||
| VIAV - AAOI | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.23% | ||
| LTRX - AAOI | 48% Loosely correlated | -3.58% | ||
| ADTN - AAOI | 48% Loosely correlated | -6.52% | ||
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