AAOI
Price
$75.59
Change
-$8.14 (-9.72%)
Updated
Oct 16, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
8.22B
20 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VIAV
Price
$33.38
Change
-$3.44 (-9.34%)
Updated
Oct 16 closing price
Capitalization
10.08B
13 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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AAOI vs VIAV

AAOI vs VIAV Comparison Chart in %
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VS
AAOI vs. VIAV commentary
Oct 17, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AAOI is a Hold and VIAV is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAOI with price predictions
Oct 15, 2026

Momentum Indicator for AAOI turns negative, indicating new downward trend

AAOI saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 79 of the 88 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AAOI moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 37 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AAOI turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.

AAOI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for AAOI moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAOI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

AAOI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AAOI entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +12.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAOI advanced for three days, in 232 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AAOI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.929) is normal, around the industry mean (5.894). P/E Ratio (25.020) is within average values for comparable stocks, (107.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.790) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.834) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VIAV with price predictions
Oct 15, 2026

VIAV in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026

VIAV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 24 of 32 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VIAV moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 63%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VIAV as a result. In 58 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VIAV turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VIAV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

VIAV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for VIAV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Following a +12.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VIAV advanced for three days, in 234 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 191 of 274 cases where VIAV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VIAV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.964) is normal, around the industry mean (5.894). VIAV has a moderately high P/E Ratio (350.500) as compared to the industry average of (107.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.470) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.208) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).

FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
AAOI vs VIAV: Fundamental Ratings
AAOI
VIAV
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
7893
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
50
Fair valued
92
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
6650
SMR RATING
1..100
9291
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
4136
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
570
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
n/an/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

AAOI's Valuation (50) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for VIAV (92) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that AAOI’s stock grew somewhat faster than VIAV’s over the last 12 months.

VIAV's Profit vs Risk Rating (50) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AAOI (66) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.

VIAV's SMR Rating (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AAOI (92) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.

VIAV's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AAOI (41) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.

AAOI's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for VIAV (70) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that AAOI’s stock grew somewhat faster than VIAV’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AAOIVIAV
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
63%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
70%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 11 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 15 days ago
74%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
70%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
70%
COMPARISON
Comparison
Oct 17, 2026
Stock price -- (AAOI: $83.73 vs. VIAV: $36.82)
Brand notoriety: AAOI and VIAV are both not notable
Both companies represent the Telecommunications Equipment industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: AAOI: 200% vs. VIAV: 163%
Market capitalization -- AAOI: $8.22B vs. VIAV: $10.08B
AAOI [@Telecommunications Equipment] is valued at $8.22B. VIAV’s [@Telecommunications Equipment] market capitalization is $10.08B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Telecommunications Equipment] industry ranges from $3.88K to $420.83B. The average market capitalization across the [@Telecommunications Equipment] industry is $19.96B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

AAOI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while VIAV’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).

  • AAOI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • VIAV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
According to our system of comparison, AAOI is a better buy in the long-term than VIAV.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

AAOI’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VIAV’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • AAOI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 8 bearish.
  • VIAV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, VIAV is a better buy in the short-term than AAOI.

Price Growth

AAOI (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а -20.93% price change this week, while VIAV (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was -16.49% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was -10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.90%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.12%.

Reported Earning Dates

AAOI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.

VIAV is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Telecommunications Equipment (-10.31% weekly)

The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.

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AAOI
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VIAV
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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AAOI and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAOI has been closely correlated with LITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AAOI jumps, then LITE could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AAOI
1D Price
Change %
AAOI100%
-2.89%
LITE - AAOI
68%
Closely correlated
-2.99%
CIEN - AAOI
57%
Loosely correlated
-0.86%
VIAV - AAOI
54%
Loosely correlated
-4.49%
ADTN - AAOI
49%
Loosely correlated
-1.66%
LASR - AAOI
47%
Loosely correlated
-1.14%
More