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ADC vs NTST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) vs. NETSTREIT Corp. (NTST) Stock Comparison
1) Key Takeaways
- Both ADC and NTST are net-lease retail REITs (real estate investment trusts), but they differ sharply in scale, tenant credit quality, and market positioning.
- ADC operates a much larger, more diversified portfolio with higher investment-grade tenant exposure and record occupancy of 99.8%.
- NTST is a smaller, faster-growing operator that recently raised its 2026 acquisition and AFFO (adjusted funds from operations) guidance.
- Both stocks have pulled back in recent weeks amid elevated Treasury yields, though NTST has shown notably weaker short-term momentum.
- On valuation, NTST trades at a far higher price-to-earnings multiple, while ADC offers a larger, more established dividend yield.
2) Introduction
Net-lease retail REITs are a natural comparison set for income-oriented and total-return investors alike, and Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) and NETSTREIT Corp. (NTST) sit at different points on that spectrum. The former is a large, seasoned owner of single-tenant retail properties spanning all 50 states, while the latter is a younger, internally managed platform still in a rapid external-growth phase. Understanding how these two stocks differ in relative performance, portfolio quality, growth drivers, and risk can help both long-term income investors and momentum-focused traders assess which profile better fits current market conditions.
3) ADC Overview and Recent Performance
Agree Realty Corporation is a publicly traded REIT focused on the acquisition and development of retail properties net leased to leading, omni-channel tenants. As of its most recent quarterly disclosures, the company owned roughly 2,756 properties across all 50 states, with a portfolio approximately 99.8% leased and nearly two-thirds of annualized base rent generated from investment-grade tenants.
In recent market activity, ADC shares have traded lower alongside the broader net-lease sector, pressured in part by elevated long-term Treasury yields that compress acquisition spreads. The company nevertheless reported record investment volume of more than $500 million in its latest quarter and raised full-year investment volume guidance to a range of $1.6 billion to $1.8 billion, while also lifting its AFFO per share outlook. Management has continued its pattern of monthly dividend increases, with the annualized dividend recently raised to over $3.20 per share. Insider buying and a fortified balance sheet, including roughly $1.9 billion in total liquidity, have reinforced a defensive, credit-focused narrative even as the share price has softened.
4) NTST Overview and Recent Performance
NETSTREIT Corp. is an internally managed REIT headquartered in Dallas that specializes in acquiring single-tenant net-lease retail properties nationwide. Its portfolio is considerably smaller, totaling roughly 804 investments across 46 states, with occupancy near 99.9% and a weighted-average lease term of about 10.2 years. Investment-grade tenants represent a smaller share of base rent than at its larger peer, reflecting the company's emphasis on smaller-format, higher-yielding properties.
In recent weeks, NTST shares have experienced a more pronounced pullback than many peers, with the stock retreating by a double-digit percentage over the past month and roughly 20% over the trailing quarter. The company has remained active, completing strong gross investment activity at a blended cash yield of about 7.4%, raising its 2026 net investment guidance to $700 million to $800 million, and increasing its quarterly dividend by 2.3% to $0.225 per share. It also refinanced portions of its debt stack, expanding term loans and adding a delayed-draw facility. Despite these steps, a high headline valuation multiple and softer short-term momentum have weighed on sentiment.
5) Trending AI Robots
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6) Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two companies is scale and maturity. ADC runs a vastly larger portfolio with superior diversification across geography and tenant credit, a longer operating track record, and a higher proportion of investment-grade rent. This translates into lower perceived credit risk and a more established dividend profile, but also a comparatively moderate growth rate per share. NTST, by contrast, offers a smaller base that supports faster percentage growth in acquisitions and AFFO, though it carries higher leverage on a reported net debt-to-EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) basis and less tenant credit depth.
On market sentiment and momentum, the two stocks have diverged recently. Both have declined as rising Treasury yields pressured net-lease valuations, but NTST has underperformed on a relative basis over the past month and quarter. Valuation also differs meaningfully: NTST trades at a very elevated price-to-earnings multiple, whereas ADC offers a more modest multiple and a higher dividend yield. For risk factors, interest-rate sensitivity is shared, but NTST also faces execution and valuation risk tied to sustaining its rapid external growth.
7) Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, portfolio stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor ADC in the current environment. The company's record occupancy, deeper investment-grade tenant base, stronger balance-sheet liquidity, and steadier, more established income stream suggest more consistent trend characteristics and greater resilience against the rate-driven volatility that has recently pressured the sector. NTST may offer a stronger long-term growth trajectory, but its elevated valuation multiple and weaker near-term momentum present comparatively higher uncertainty. This verdict reflects a probabilistic, data-driven read of current conditions rather than a definitive or personalized recommendation.
8) Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADC is a StrongBuy and NTST is a Hold.
ADC's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADC turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 9 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 32%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 26 of 57 cases where ADC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADC as a result. In 44 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Following a +2.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADC advanced for three days, in 152 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
ADC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for ADC moved below the 200-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
The Aroon Indicator for ADC entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ADC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.264) is normal, around the industry mean (2.646). P/E Ratio (34.672) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.201). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (10.790) is also within normal values, averaging (12.808). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (305.774) among similar stocks. ADC's P/S Ratio (10.277) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.739).
NTST's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for NTST moved out of oversold territory on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 19 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 30 of 53 cases where NTST's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NTST just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where NTST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 20 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
Following a +0.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NTST advanced for three days, in 168 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
NTST may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for NTST moved below the 200-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NTST declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Aroon Indicator for NTST entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 41 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.063) is normal, around the industry mean (2.646). NTST's P/E Ratio (117.643) is considerably higher than the industry average of (34.201). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (12.808). Dividend Yield (0.055) settles around the average of (305.774) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.285) is also within normal values, averaging (6.739).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NTST’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NTST’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock worse than average.
ADC | NTST | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 86 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 67 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 41 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NTST's Valuation (71) in the null industry is in the same range as ADC (88) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. This means that NTST’s stock grew similarly to ADC’s over the last 12 months.
ADC's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NTST (100) in the null industry. This means that ADC’s stock grew somewhat faster than NTST’s over the last 12 months.
ADC's SMR Rating (86) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NTST (89) in the null industry. This means that ADC’s stock grew similarly to NTST’s over the last 12 months.
ADC's Price Growth Rating (72) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NTST (75) in the null industry. This means that ADC’s stock grew similarly to NTST’s over the last 12 months.
ADC's P/E Growth Rating (67) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NTST (89) in the null industry. This means that ADC’s stock grew similarly to NTST’s over the last 12 months.
| ADC | NTST | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 32% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 46% | 11 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 37% | 4 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 47% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NTST’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NTST’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NTST’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NTST’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
ADC (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а +0.77% price change this week, while NTST (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was -4.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was +2.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.05%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADC is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
NTST is expected to report earnings on Mar 03, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (+2.87% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
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ADC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADC has been closely correlated with NNN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADC jumps, then NNN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADC | 100% | +4.00% | ||
| NNN - ADC | 78% Closely correlated | +3.46% | ||
| O - ADC | 77% Closely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| EPRT - ADC | 76% Closely correlated | +5.50% | ||
| FCPT - ADC | 73% Closely correlated | +4.06% | ||
| NTST - ADC | 69% Closely correlated | +3.34% | ||
More | ||||
NTST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NTST has been closely correlated with ADC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NTST jumps, then ADC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NTST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTST | 100% | +3.34% | ||
| ADC - NTST | 70% Closely correlated | +4.00% | ||
| EPRT - NTST | 69% Closely correlated | +5.50% | ||
| NNN - NTST | 69% Closely correlated | +3.46% | ||
| O - NTST | 68% Closely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| GTY - NTST | 64% Loosely correlated | +3.57% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
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| BondBloxx Bloomberg One Year Target Duration US Treasury ETF (XONE) | |||
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