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AEE vs EXC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ameren Corporation (AEE) vs. Exelon Corporation (EXC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEE has outperformed EXC year-to-date with a 14.49% return compared to EXC's 7.59%, reflecting stronger recent momentum.
- AEE recently hit a 52-week high of $115.59, trading around $113.56, while EXC trades near $46.50 amid stable but lower growth.
- EXC offers a higher dividend yield at 3.61% versus AEE's 2.64%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Both utilities benefit from Midwest transmission demand, but AEE shows positioning for data center growth and MISO outlook.
- AEE's P/E ratio stands at 21.23, higher than EXC's 17.03, indicating differing market valuations.
- Upcoming Q1 earnings for AEE on May 5 and EXC on May 6 could influence near-term sentiment.
Introduction
Ameren Corporation (AEE) and Exelon Corporation (EXC) are leading regulated electric utilities operating primarily in the Midwest, serving millions of customers in Illinois and Missouri. This stock comparison is relevant for investors seeking defensive plays in the utilities sector, which offers stability amid market volatility. Traders may evaluate relative performance, dividend reliability, and growth from transmission investments and data center demand. With both companies reporting Q1 earnings soon, recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum and valuation, aiding decisions on portfolio allocation in a rate-sensitive environment.
AEE Overview and Recent Performance
Ameren Corporation (AEE) provides electric and natural gas services across Missouri and Illinois through subsidiaries like Ameren Missouri and Ameren Illinois. The company focuses on transmission infrastructure and renewable integration. In recent market activity, AEE shares reached a 52-week high of $115.59, closing near $113.56 with a market cap of $31.4 billion. Year-to-date gains stand at 14.49%, outpacing the broader utilities sector, driven by positive analyst views and expectations for Q1 EPS of $1.17. Sentiment has been bolstered by MISO's bullish transmission outlook benefiting Ameren subsidiaries and data center power deals, alongside a forward dividend yield of 2.64%. Upcoming earnings on May 5 are anticipated to reflect steady demand.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon Corporation (EXC), the largest U.S. utility by customer count, operates through subsidiaries like ComEd in Illinois, focusing on electric transmission and distribution. Recent weeks saw stable trading around $46.50, with a market cap of $47.6 billion, though year-to-date returns lag at 7.59%. The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share, yielding 3.61%, supporting income appeal. Shareholder approval at the April annual meeting reinforced governance, while ComEd's efficiency programs saved customers billions. Q1 earnings on May 6 are expected at $0.90 EPS, with guidance for 2026 operating EPS of $2.81-$2.91 amid transmission growth. Performance reflects regulatory filings and steady load growth.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AEE and EXC operate regulated utility models centered on electric transmission and distribution in overlapping Midwest regions, exposing them to similar interest rate risks and regulatory oversight. AEE's smaller market cap ($31B vs. $48B) allows nimbler growth via transmission investments, with recent price growth ratings matching EXC but superior YTD momentum (14% vs. 8%). EXC counters with higher dividend yield and scale advantages in customer base, though one-year returns trail (3% vs. 19%). Growth drivers include data center demand boosting load growth, with AEE benefiting from MISO projects and EXC from PJM extensions. Risks involve capex funding and rates; sentiment favors AEE's stability (beta 0.51 vs. 0.42).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward AEE based on consistent upward trend, recent 52-week highs, and stronger relative performance metrics like YTD returns and transmission catalysts. While EXC offers yield stability, AEE's momentum and positioning suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in a growth-oriented utilities environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEE is a Buy and EXC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileEXC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AEE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- EXC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXC’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- EXC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
AEE (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.46% price change this week, while EXC (@Electric Utilities) price change was +1.01% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
EXC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| AEE | EXC | AEE / EXC | |
| Capitalization | 30.2B | 47.3B | 64% |
| EBITDA | 4.17B | 9.19B | 45% |
| Gain YTD | 10.669 | 7.924 | 135% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.60 | 16.93 | 116% |
| Revenue | 8.88B | 24.8B | 36% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 713M | - |
| Total Debt | 21.3B | 51.2B | 42% |
AEE | EXC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EXC's Valuation (50) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (67). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (32). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's SMR Rating (66) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (73). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (51). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (60). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
| AEE | EXC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 38% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 6 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 28% | 2 days ago 23% |
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AEE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AEE has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AEE jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.
EXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXC has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXC jumps, then FE could also see price increases.