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EXC vs FE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Exelon Corporation (EXC) vs. FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both EXC and FE are large regulated utilities focused on electric transmission and distribution, with stable earnings profiles supported by rate-base growth.
- As of late July 2026, FE shows stronger year-to-date total return at approximately 13.7% compared with EXC at around 11%, while both trade near the upper end of their recent ranges.
- EXC is scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 results on July 30, with expectations for solid earnings-per-share growth and continued emphasis on its multi-year transmission investment program.
- FE reports second-quarter results on July 28 and has seen multiple upward price-target revisions from analysts amid grid-modernization spending and dividend stability.
- Sector sentiment remains constructive for both names due to rising electricity demand and infrastructure needs, though regulatory outcomes and interest-rate sensitivity remain key variables.
- Relative positioning favors companies with clearer visibility into capital-deployment timelines and constructive regulatory environments in the current market environment.
Introduction
Exelon Corporation (EXC) and FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) are two prominent regulated electric utilities operating primarily in the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic regions. Investors and traders often compare these names when seeking defensive exposure within the utilities sector, particularly amid evolving electricity demand, transmission needs, and interest-rate dynamics. This analysis examines recent price behavior, upcoming earnings catalysts, capital plans, and relative positioning to provide a factual framework for evaluating the two stocks side by side.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon Corporation is the largest regulated electric and gas utility in the United States, serving millions of customers through subsidiaries including ComEd in Illinois. In recent weeks, EXC shares have traded in a relatively narrow range around the mid-$47 level, reflecting steady but measured momentum. Year-to-date performance has outpaced the broader market modestly, supported by ongoing execution of a multi-billion-dollar transmission-focused capital plan. Investor attention has centered on regulatory developments, including time-of-day pricing initiatives and virtual power plant approvals, alongside preparations for second-quarter earnings expected on July 30. Analyst commentary has highlighted balanced risk-reward dynamics and the company’s reaffirmed full-year earnings guidance.
FE Overview and Recent Performance
FirstEnergy Corp. operates as a major regulated utility with a significant footprint in transmission and distribution across several states. In recent market activity, FE shares have exhibited resilience, closing near $49.90–$50 and posting stronger year-to-date gains relative to peers. The company has benefited from multiple upward price-target revisions by Wall Street firms, reflecting optimism around grid-modernization investments and a stable dividend. Second-quarter 2026 results are due July 28, with expectations centered on modest revenue growth and continued capital deployment. Recent leadership updates and strategy refinements have reinforced the company’s long-term earnings-growth targets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies operate regulated rate-base models that provide earnings visibility through approved returns on invested capital, yet they differ in geographic concentration and growth emphasis. EXC maintains a larger service territory and a more extensive transmission pipeline, while FE has concentrated recent efforts on distribution upgrades and reliability enhancements. Recent momentum has favored FE on a year-to-date basis, accompanied by more frequent upward analyst target adjustments. Risk factors for both include regulatory lag, interest-rate sensitivity, and potential shifts in energy-demand forecasts. Market sentiment remains generally constructive for utilities with clear capital-expenditure visibility, though EXC faces slightly more near-term earnings-event focus while FE benefits from incremental positive revisions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent relative performance, frequency of positive analyst revisions, and positioning ahead of earnings, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of outperformance to FE over the near term, driven by stronger year-to-date returns and constructive target momentum. EXC retains appeal through its larger scale and transmission focus, yet the data tilt slightly toward FE in the present environment. This assessment reflects pattern recognition rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXC is a Hold and FE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EXC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXC’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- FE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
EXC (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.62% price change this week, while FE (@Electric Utilities) price change was -0.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXC is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
FE is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.25% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| EXC | FE | EXC / FE | |
| Capitalization | 47B | 27.1B | 173% |
| EBITDA | 9.34B | 4.43B | 211% |
| Gain YTD | 6.499 | 7.771 | 84% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.76 | 25.05 | 67% |
| Revenue | 25.3B | 15.8B | 160% |
| Total Cash | 1.81B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 52.7B | 29B | 182% |
EXC | FE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 10 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 42 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FE's Valuation (10) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (26). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FE (36). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to FE’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's SMR Rating (73) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FE (76). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to FE’s over the last 12 months.
FE's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (58). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
FE's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (51). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
| EXC | FE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 39% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 38% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 46% | 9 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 36% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 31% | 1 day ago 49% |
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EXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXC has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXC jumps, then FE could also see price increases.
FE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FE has been closely correlated with PPL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FE jumps, then PPL could also see price increases.