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EXC vs FE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Exelon Corporation (EXC) vs. FirstEnergy Corp (FE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both EXC and FE offer defensive utility exposure with dividend yields around 3.6-4%, appealing in volatile markets.
- EXC boasts a larger market cap of $47.6 billion and lower P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 17, suggesting relative value.
- FE reported stronger Q1 2026 core earnings growth of 7.5% year-over-year, reaffirming full-year guidance.
- EXC leads YTD performance at 7.6% versus FE's 5.8%, with lower beta indicating stability.
- Recent grid investments position FE for data center demand, while EXC focuses on cost efficiencies and customer bill relief.
- Analyst comparisons highlight FE's edge in earnings growth and ROE (return on equity).
Introduction
In the utility sector, EXC and FE stand out as regulated electric distribution and transmission giants serving millions across the Midwest and Northeast. This comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance, and catalysts amid rising demand for reliable power from data centers and electrification trends. Investors seeking stable dividends, low-beta (market sensitivity) plays, or exposure to infrastructure growth will find value in evaluating these peers' relative strengths in the current environment.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon Corporation (EXC) is a leading utility holding company operating regulated electricity and natural gas distribution for about 10 million customers in Illinois, Pennsylvania, Maryland, New Jersey, Delaware, and Washington, D.C. Shares trade around $46.50 with a market cap of $47.6 billion, P/E of 17, and 3.6% dividend yield. In recent weeks, EXC has shown resilience near its 52-week high, up 7.6% YTD, supported by a low beta of 0.42. Sentiment has been bolstered by cost-efficiency initiatives, including ComEd's reconciliation filing for lower customer bills, a FERC order extending PJM price collars for savings, and a reaffirmed $0.42 quarterly dividend. Upcoming Q1 earnings are projected to dip slightly, but efficiency programs have saved customers billions, enhancing long-term positioning.
FE Overview and Recent Performance
FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) delivers electricity to over 6 million customers across Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Maryland, and New York through its distribution and transmission segments. Trading near $46.92 with a $27.1 billion market cap, P/E of 25.5, and 4% dividend yield, shares reflect a beta of 0.47. Recent market activity has seen modest YTD gains of 5.8%, with elevated volume amid Q1 results showing core EPS of $0.72 (up 7.5% YoY) and revenue growth. Key drivers include a $36 billion capex plan through 2030 for grid reliability and data center support, reaffirmed 2026 guidance, and opposition to certain PJM procurement plans, signaling proactive growth amid rising power demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both EXC and FE thrive as regulated utilities with transmission/distribution models, high barriers to entry, and stable cash flows from essential services. EXC’s scale provides diversification across more states, lower P/E for value, and superior YTD momentum, but higher debt exposure tempers agility. FE counters with robust earnings growth, a multi-year capex surge targeting electrification and data centers, and competitive ROE, though its smaller size and higher P/E reflect growth premiums and past regulatory risks. Recent sentiment favors FE on catalysts like grid upgrades versus EXC’s efficiency focus, with both low betas mitigating sector risks amid interest rate shifts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward FE in the current environment, driven by consistent Q1 earnings beats, reaffirmed guidance, and substantial grid investments aligning with data center demand trends. While EXC offers stability and value, FE’s growth trajectory and relative momentum suggest higher probability of outperformance over coming quarters, barring sector headwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXC is a StrongBuy and FE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- EXC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- FE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EXC (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +1.01% price change this week, while FE (@Electric Utilities) price change was +1.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
FE is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| EXC | FE | EXC / FE | |
| Capitalization | 47.3B | 27.2B | 174% |
| EBITDA | 9.19B | 4.35B | 211% |
| Gain YTD | 7.924 | 7.146 | 111% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.93 | 25.56 | 66% |
| Revenue | 24.8B | 15.5B | 160% |
| Total Cash | 713M | 52M | 1,371% |
| Total Debt | 51.2B | 28.1B | 182% |
EXC | FE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 43 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FE's Valuation (12) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EXC (50). This means that FE’s stock grew somewhat faster than EXC’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FE (35). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to FE’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's SMR Rating (73) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FE (77). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to FE’s over the last 12 months.
FE's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (51). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
FE's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (48). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
| EXC | FE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 12 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 23% | 2 days ago 37% |
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EXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXC has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXC jumps, then FE could also see price increases.