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AER vs MA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AerCap Holdings (AER) vs. Mastercard (MA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AER has delivered stronger year-to-date and one-year returns compared to MA, supported by robust demand for aviation assets.
- Both companies are scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 results in late July, with AER on July 29 and MA on July 30.
- AER operates in the aircraft leasing sector with recent asset transactions and raised earnings guidance from the first quarter.
- MA focuses on global payments processing, showing resilience amid broader market fluctuations and analyst support.
- AER exhibits higher volatility typical of its industry, while MA benefits from more stable consumer spending patterns.
- Relative positioning favors AER on recent momentum metrics, though MA maintains consistent sector leadership in financial services.
Introduction
This comparison examines AER and MA to highlight differences in business models, recent market behavior, and positioning within their respective sectors. AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in aircraft leasing, while Mastercard Incorporated provides payment network services. Investors and traders seeking exposure to cyclical industrial growth or defensive consumer finance trends may find this analysis useful for evaluating relative performance and risk profiles in the current environment.
AER Overview and Recent Performance
AerCap Holdings N.V. is a leading global aircraft leasing company that acquires, leases, and sells commercial aircraft to airlines worldwide. In recent market activity, the stock has shown positive momentum, with year-to-date returns near 7% and one-year gains exceeding 30%. Recent weeks featured announcements of substantial asset transactions, including the lease, purchase, and sale of 202 aircraft in the second quarter. Sentiment has been supported by strong first-quarter results that prompted raised full-year guidance, alongside ongoing demand for aviation assets amid supply constraints.
MA Overview and Recent Performance
Mastercard Incorporated operates a global payments network facilitating electronic transactions for consumers, merchants, and financial institutions. In recent market activity, the stock has traded in a range influenced by broader financial sector movements, posting year-to-date returns around 8-9%. Recent weeks included a quarterly dividend declaration and continued analyst coverage with multiple buy ratings. Performance reflects steady transaction volume trends, though the share price experienced some pressure amid market gains in early July.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AER follows an asset-intensive leasing model exposed to aviation cycles, while MA employs a scalable network model tied to global transaction volumes. Growth drivers for AER center on aircraft demand and lease extensions; MA benefits from digital payments expansion and cybersecurity initiatives. Recent momentum has favored AER on returns and guidance upgrades, contrasting with MA’s more measured price action. Risk factors include fuel prices and geopolitical events for AER versus regulatory and competition issues for MA. Sector exposure places AER in industrials and MA in financial services, producing distinct sentiment drivers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, recent guidance raises, and relative momentum, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to AER over MA. Factors include stronger trailing returns and aviation-sector catalysts, though both face earnings catalysts that could shift positioning. This assessment reflects data-driven patterns rather than guarantees of future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AER is a StrongBuy and MA is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AER’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AER’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AER’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MA’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AER’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AER (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) experienced а -2.81% price change this week, while MA (@Savings Banks) price change was +0.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was -0.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.80%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Savings Banks industry was -3.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
AER is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
MA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (-0.03% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
@Savings Banks (-3.70% weekly)A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.
| AER | MA | AER / MA | |
| Capitalization | 23.5B | 475B | 5% |
| EBITDA | 5.5B | 21.3B | 26% |
| Gain YTD | 4.311 | -5.350 | -81% |
| P/E Ratio | 6.55 | 31.12 | 21% |
| Revenue | 8.68B | 33.9B | 26% |
| Total Cash | 1.48B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 43.1B | 19B | 227% |
AER | MA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 100 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 8 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 74 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AER's Valuation (16) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is significantly better than the same rating for MA (100). This means that AER’s stock grew significantly faster than MA’s over the last 12 months.
AER's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as MA (36). This means that AER’s stock grew similarly to MA’s over the last 12 months.
MA's SMR Rating (8) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AER (43). This means that MA’s stock grew somewhat faster than AER’s over the last 12 months.
AER's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as MA (51). This means that AER’s stock grew similarly to MA’s over the last 12 months.
MA's P/E Growth Rating (74) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as AER (85). This means that MA’s stock grew similarly to AER’s over the last 12 months.
| AER | MA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 47% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 54% | 6 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 38% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 48% |
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