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HWM vs WWD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Howmet Aerospace (HWM) vs. Woodward (WWD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Howmet Aerospace and Woodward both operate in the aerospace and industrial sectors but serve meaningfully different niches within those markets.
- Howmet Aerospace has demonstrated stronger earnings momentum and margin expansion in recent quarters, supported by robust demand in its engineered products and forged wheels segments.
- Woodward continues to benefit from steady aftermarket aerospace demand and an expanding industrial gas turbine footprint, though growth has been more measured.
- Both companies maintain strong balance sheets, but Howmet's aggressive share repurchase program and higher free cash flow conversion have drawn notable investor attention.
- Sector-wide tailwinds from commercial aerospace build-rate increases and defense modernization provide a constructive backdrop for both stocks, though AI-driven analysis suggests differentiated near-term positioning.
Introduction
Investors tracking the aerospace and industrial manufacturing landscape frequently encounter two prominent names: HWM (Howmet Aerospace) and WWD (Woodward). Both companies supply critical components and systems to aviation, defense, and energy markets, yet they diverge in product focus, growth trajectory, and market positioning. This comparison is especially relevant for those evaluating industrial stocks with exposure to long-duration secular trends, including fleet expansion, fuel efficiency mandates, and decarbonization. Whether you are a fundamentals-driven investor or a technically oriented trader, understanding how these two stocks stack up can help inform allocation decisions in a rapidly evolving macro environment.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace, headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is a leading global provider of advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries. The company's primary revenue streams include engine products, fastening systems, engineered structures, and forged aluminum wheels for commercial transportation. In recent months, Howmet has benefited from sustained commercial aerospace recovery, with original equipment manufacturer (OEM) build rates for narrow-body aircraft steadily climbing. The company's aftermarket exposure has also provided recurring revenue visibility, as airline maintenance cycles intensify with aging fleets. Over recent weeks, Howmet shares have traded near multi-year highs, reflecting investor confidence in the company's ability to convert top-line growth into expanding operating margins. Notably, Howmet has executed a disciplined capital allocation strategy, including significant share repurchases that have enhanced earnings per share (EPS). Analysts have cited the company's pricing power and operational efficiency improvements as key differentiators in the current inflationary environment.
WWD Overview and Recent Performance
Woodward, based in Fort Collins, Colorado, designs and manufactures energy-control and optimization solutions for aerospace and industrial markets. The company's aerospace segment delivers fuel systems, actuation systems, and combustion controls for both commercial and military aircraft, while its industrial segment focuses on gas and steam turbine controls, power generation, and alternative energy applications. Recent market activity has shown Woodward maintaining a stable trajectory, supported by steady aftermarket demand and increasing industrial gas turbine servicing contracts. The company has also positioned itself to benefit from the global energy transition, as its controls and systems are essential to improving the efficiency of legacy power infrastructure. In recent weeks, Woodward's stock has exhibited relatively lower volatility compared to peers, reflecting its balanced end-market exposure and consistent execution. However, revenue growth has been more gradual than some investors had anticipated, partly due to supply chain normalization timelines in certain aerospace programs.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both HWM and WWD share exposure to commercial aerospace and defense end markets, notable differences emerge upon closer examination. Howmet Aerospace is more concentrated in aerospace engine components and fasteners, granting it deeper leverage to narrow-body production rate increases and aftermarket part replacement cycles. Woodward, by contrast, derives a meaningful portion of revenue from industrial power generation and process controls, providing diversification that can cushion against aerospace cyclicality but may also temper upside during aviation booms.
From a growth perspective, Howmet has posted stronger recent earnings surprises and margin expansion, aided by volume leverage and cost discipline. Its capital return program — particularly share buybacks — has compounded shareholder returns. Woodward's growth profile, though consistent, has been more reliant on industrial recovery and energy infrastructure investment cycles. In terms of risk, Howmet's higher aerospace concentration ties it more directly to aircraft delivery schedules, while Woodward's broader industrial exposure introduces sensitivity to macroeconomic capital expenditure trends. Market sentiment, as reflected in relative valuation multiples, currently assigns a premium to Howmet for its faster earnings trajectory, whereas Woodward trades at a more moderate valuation that may appeal to value-conscious investors seeking diversification across aerospace and energy end markets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning within the aerospace-industrial complex, Tickeron's AI analysis would likely lean toward HWM in the current environment. Howmet Aerospace has demonstrated a more pronounced uptrend in fundamental metrics — including free cash flow generation, margin improvement, and EPS revisions — alongside stronger technical trend signals in recent months. Woodward remains a well-managed enterprise with credible long-term tailwinds, yet its comparatively measured growth trajectory places it slightly behind in momentum-based AI assessments. That said, probabilistic AI models weigh multiple variables dynamically, and a shift in industrial capital spending or aerospace delivery cadence could recalibrate the relative ranking. In the near term, Howmet's combination of earnings power and favorable sector tailwinds appears to give it an edge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HWM is a Buy and WWD is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HWM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileWWD’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HWM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- WWD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HWM’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WWD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HWM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WWD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +5.86% price change this week, while WWD (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +4.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
HWM is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
WWD is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-0.18% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HWM | WWD | HWM / WWD | |
| Capitalization | 115B | 24.5B | 469% |
| EBITDA | 2.55B | 784M | 325% |
| Gain YTD | 40.172 | 36.493 | 110% |
| P/E Ratio | 66.61 | 49.33 | 135% |
| Revenue | 8.62B | 4B | 216% |
| Total Cash | 2.44B | 501M | 486% |
| Total Debt | 4.69B | 1.14B | 410% |
HWM | WWD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WWD's Valuation (70) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as HWM (79) in the null industry. This means that WWD’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the null industry is in the same range as WWD (3) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to WWD’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (30) in the null industry is in the same range as WWD (44) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to WWD’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Price Growth Rating (14) in the null industry is in the same range as WWD (43) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to WWD’s over the last 12 months.
WWD's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as HWM (36) in the null industry. This means that WWD’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
| HWM | WWD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 10 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 49% | 5 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 63% |
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HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
WWD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WWD has been loosely correlated with AIR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WWD jumps, then AIR could also see price increases.