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AJG vs BRO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) vs. Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AJG and BRO operate as leading insurance brokerage firms, providing risk management and employee benefits services with similar exposure to the insurance sector.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks have experienced moderate volatility influenced by interest rate expectations and industry M&A (mergers and acquisitions) activity.
- AJG has demonstrated relatively stronger revenue growth through organic expansion and acquisitions in recent weeks compared to BRO.
- BRO maintains a slightly more conservative balance sheet profile, potentially offering lower downside risk in uncertain market conditions.
- Market sentiment for both remains positive overall, supported by steady demand for insurance brokerage services amid economic expansion.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between growth momentum at AJG and stability at BRO, relevant for diversified sector exposure.
Introduction
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) and Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO) represent two prominent players in the insurance brokerage industry. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating sector exposure. The analysis focuses on observable factors such as revenue drivers, risk profiles, and sentiment shifts over recent weeks. Professionals seeking relative value within financial services or those building diversified portfolios may find this overview particularly relevant for assessing how these stocks respond to broader economic and regulatory developments.
AJG Overview and Recent Performance
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) provides insurance brokerage, risk management, and employee benefits consulting services globally. The company has grown through a combination of organic initiatives and strategic acquisitions. In recent market activity, AJG shares have reflected resilience amid fluctuating interest rates and steady client demand for risk solutions. Positive sentiment has been supported by reported expansion in brokerage revenues and integration of acquired entities, contributing to consistent trading patterns. Broader sector tailwinds, including rising insurance premiums, have influenced performance without notable disruptions from company-specific events.
BRO Overview and Recent Performance
Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO) specializes in insurance brokerage and risk management services, serving a wide range of commercial and individual clients. The firm emphasizes decentralized operations and targeted acquisitions to drive growth. Over recent weeks, BRO stock has shown measured movements aligned with industry benchmarks, supported by stable commission income and benefits from favorable market conditions. Sentiment remains constructive due to disciplined capital allocation and limited exposure to volatile segments. Performance reflects the company’s focus on operational efficiency within the competitive insurance brokerage landscape.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In terms of business model, both AJG and BRO derive the majority of revenue from insurance commissions and fees, yet AJG pursues broader international expansion while BRO maintains a more U.S.-centric footprint. Growth drivers differ with AJG leveraging larger-scale M&A (mergers and acquisitions) activity for revenue acceleration, contrasting BRO’s emphasis on organic client retention and smaller bolt-on deals. Recent momentum favors AJG in growth metrics, though BRO exhibits comparatively lower volatility tied to its conservative approach. Risk factors include sector-wide regulatory changes for both, with BRO potentially carrying less balance-sheet leverage. Market sentiment remains aligned, though AJG benefits from greater visibility in analyst coverage.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, revenue stability, and relative positioning within the insurance brokerage sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable near-term performance to AJG. This assessment reflects stronger recent momentum and acquisition-driven growth visibility compared to BRO’s more measured profile. The evaluation remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AJG is a StrongBuy and BRO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AJG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileBRO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AJG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- BRO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AJG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BRO’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AJG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- BRO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AJG (@Insurance Brokers/Services) experienced а +1.25% price change this week, while BRO (@Insurance Brokers/Services) price change was -1.02% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Insurance Brokers/Services industry was +16.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +27.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was +37.98%.
Reported Earning Dates
AJG is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
BRO is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Insurance Brokers/Services (+16.19% weekly)Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.
| AJG | BRO | AJG / BRO | |
| Capitalization | 64.4B | 23.6B | 273% |
| EBITDA | 3.89B | 2.47B | 158% |
| Gain YTD | -2.308 | -10.824 | 21% |
| P/E Ratio | 41.66 | 22.54 | 185% |
| Revenue | 15B | 6.66B | 225% |
| Total Cash | 1.41B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 13.4B | 8.01B | 167% |
AJG | BRO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 82 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 81 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 68 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BRO's Valuation (80) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as AJG (91). This means that BRO’s stock grew similarly to AJG’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as BRO (82). This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to BRO’s over the last 12 months.
BRO's SMR Rating (72) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as AJG (81). This means that BRO’s stock grew similarly to AJG’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as BRO (49). This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to BRO’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's P/E Growth Rating (55) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as BRO (68). This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to BRO’s over the last 12 months.
| AJG | BRO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 9 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 56% |
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AJG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AJG has been closely correlated with BRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AJG jumps, then BRO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AJG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG | 100% | -0.90% | ||
| BRO - AJG | 80% Closely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| MRSH - AJG | 78% Closely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| AON - AJG | 73% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| WTW - AJG | 69% Closely correlated | -0.72% | ||
| ERIE - AJG | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.06% | ||
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BRO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BRO has been closely correlated with AJG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BRO jumps, then AJG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BRO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRO | 100% | -1.49% | ||
| AJG - BRO | 80% Closely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| MRSH - BRO | 78% Closely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| WTW - BRO | 62% Loosely correlated | -0.72% | ||
| ERIE - BRO | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.06% | ||
| GSHD - BRO | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.65% | ||
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