Advertisement
ALG vs DE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamo Group (ALG) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALG and DE operate in the machinery sector, with overlapping exposure to agricultural and industrial equipment markets but differing scales and business focuses.
- ALG reported Q2 2026 revenue of $450.7 million and adjusted EPS of $2.82, both exceeding consensus estimates, though its 1-year stock return stands at approximately -16% amid backlog declines.
- DE delivered Q3 2026 revenue of $12.61 billion and EPS of $5.10, surpassing expectations, raised full-year net income guidance, and posted a 1-year return near +46%.
- ALG maintains a smaller market capitalization of about $2 billion and emphasizes tuck-in acquisitions, while DE benefits from broader diversification across production agriculture, small ag & turf, and construction & forestry segments.
- Recent market activity shows DE with stronger price momentum and analyst upgrades, contrasting with ALG's more modest performance and portfolio adjustments such as ceasing the Boxer product line.
- Both companies exhibit solid balance sheets, though DE demonstrates higher profitability margins and return on equity in recent periods.
Introduction
This comparison examines ALG and DE, two publicly traded companies in the machinery industry with ties to agricultural and infrastructure equipment. Investors and traders focused on relative performance, sector exposure, and earnings trends may find the analysis relevant for portfolio positioning. The review draws on recent quarterly results and market developments to highlight contrasts in scale, momentum, and operational drivers without forecasting future outcomes.
ALG Overview and Recent Performance
Alamo Group Inc. specializes in vegetation management and industrial equipment, including mowing and turf care products for agricultural, governmental, and commercial users. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near $166–$168, reflecting a 1-year decline of about 16% amid broader market conditions and a reduction in backlog. The company reported second-quarter 2026 results in early August that exceeded analyst expectations, with revenue reaching $450.7 million and adjusted EPS at $2.82. Management highlighted acquisition opportunities and a strong cash position. Sentiment has been influenced by these earnings beats alongside portfolio streamlining, such as the decision to cease production of the Boxer product line in September 2026. Shares recently crossed above the 200-day moving average, indicating some stabilization in price action.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company produces agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment on a global scale, with significant operations in production and precision agriculture as well as small ag and turf segments. In recent market activity, the stock has hovered near $684, delivering a 1-year return of approximately 46% and benefiting from positive earnings momentum. Third-quarter 2026 results, released in August, showed revenue of $12.61 billion and EPS of $5.10, both ahead of consensus, prompting an upward revision to full-year net income guidance. A dividend declaration further supported investor sentiment. Performance has been aided by strength in construction and forestry alongside resilience in certain agricultural markets, despite softness in large ag equipment demand in North America.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI trading bots drawn from hundreds available across thousands of tickers. Only those demonstrating the strongest alignment with prevailing market conditions earn placement in this section. Available bots span diverse trading styles, strategies, timeframes, and performance statistics, with many reporting win rates in the 55–75% range and varying drawdown profiles depending on the approach. Users can review detailed metrics for each bot to identify options suited to specific risk tolerances and market environments. Explore the full collection on the Trending AI Robots page for additional insights.
Head-to-Head Comparison
ALG operates as a smaller, more specialized player with a market capitalization around $2 billion, emphasizing niche vegetation management and industrial equipment alongside tuck-in acquisitions. In contrast, DE commands a market capitalization near $184 billion and maintains diversified exposure across multiple equipment categories and geographies. Recent momentum favors DE, which has posted stronger year-to-date and 1-year returns alongside earnings beats and guidance increases, while ALG has experienced more tempered price performance despite its own quarterly outperformance. Risk factors differ as well: ALG faces potential volatility from backlog fluctuations and product portfolio adjustments, whereas DE contends with cyclical agricultural demand and commodity price sensitivity. Sector exposure overlaps in agriculture and infrastructure, yet DE benefits from greater scale and higher reported margins and return on equity. Market sentiment reflects these differences, with DE attracting more analyst attention and upgrades in recent periods.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to DE. The company’s recent quarterly results, raised guidance, and stronger price momentum provide clearer signals of resilience compared with ALG’s more mixed backdrop of earnings beats offset by backlog pressures and modest returns. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to current data patterns rather than guarantees of future performance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALG is a StrongBuy and DE is a Hold.
ALG | DE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 74 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 27 Undervalued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 94 | 17 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 49 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALG's Valuation (27) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DE (68). This means that ALG’s stock grew somewhat faster than DE’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for ALG (94). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than ALG’s over the last 12 months.
DE's SMR Rating (49) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (75). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (71). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
DE's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (40). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
| ALG | DE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 29 days ago 63% | 10 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while DE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ALG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ALG (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а +0.98% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -0.26% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +0.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALG is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
DE is expected to report earnings on Nov 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+0.93% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
Advertisement
DE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DE has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DE jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.