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ALG vs DE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALG and DE both operate in industrial and agricultural equipment, but they serve very different scales and end markets.
- DE has shown stronger recent momentum, with shares up roughly 33% year-to-date after a beat-and-raise quarter and an analyst upgrade.
- ALG has posted steady revenue growth and improving profitability, though its longer-horizon total return remains under pressure.
- Deere's construction and forestry segment is offsetting a weak large-agriculture cycle, while Alamo is leaning on its Industrial Equipment division and recent acquisitions.
- The two names carry contrasting risk profiles: Deere offers scale and diversification, while Alamo offers a smaller-cap, acquisition-driven growth story.
Introduction
Investors evaluating the machinery and equipment sector often weigh large, diversified manufacturers against smaller, more specialized peers. This stock comparison examines ALG (Alamo Group Inc.), a Texas-based maker of industrial and vegetation-management equipment, against DE (Deere & Company), the Illinois-headquartered global leader in agricultural, construction, and forestry machinery. Both companies are sensitive to infrastructure spending, agricultural demand, and interest rates, yet their market positioning and growth drivers differ meaningfully. Traders seeking momentum, cyclical exposure, or a mix of growth and value may find this relative performance comparison useful for understanding where each name currently stands in the market cycle.
ALG Overview and Recent Performance
Alamo Group Inc. designs and manufactures industrial and vegetation-management equipment used in government, industrial, and agricultural applications, including mowers, sweepers, excavators, vacuum trucks, and snow-removal products. In recent quarters, the company has delivered consistent top-line growth. In its second quarter, net sales rose 7.6% year over year, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS, the profit allocated to each share) up 7.2% and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $63.9 million, or 14.2% of net sales.
Growth has been led by the Industrial Equipment division, which posted a 12.8% sales increase, supported by the acquisition of Petersen and Ring-O-Matic. The Vegetation Management segment, long a source of pressure, recorded its second consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. Despite these operational gains, the stock's longer-term total return has lagged, and the company recently announced it would discontinue its Boxer product line, recording related charges. Management continues to emphasize margin execution, cost discipline, and a balanced capital-allocation strategy.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company is one of the world's largest manufacturers of agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment, complemented by a growing precision-agriculture technology platform and a financial-services arm. The company has navigated a downturn in large agricultural equipment by leaning on strength elsewhere in its portfolio. In its most recent fiscal quarter, Deere reported revenue of $12.61 billion and adjusted EPS of $5.10, both exceeding analyst estimates, and subsequently raised the low end of its full-year net-income guidance.
The Construction & Forestry segment was the standout, with net sales up 18% and operating profit up 84%, reflecting demand tied to infrastructure and data-center buildouts. Small Agriculture & Turf also improved, while large agriculture in North and South America is still expected to decline 15% to 20%. Following the results, Deere's shares jumped roughly 9%, and at least one major brokerage upgraded the stock. Management has signaled confidence that the agriculture cycle is nearing its bottom, citing improving used-equipment inventories and rising adoption of precision technology.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
At the most basic level, this comparison contrasts a large-cap, globally diversified manufacturer with a small-cap, acquisition-driven specialist. Deere generates tens of billions in annual revenue across agriculture, construction, forestry, and financing, while Alamo operates at a fraction of that scale, focused on niche industrial and vegetation-management equipment. This difference in scale shapes their growth drivers: Deere is leveraged to the agriculture cycle and infrastructure mega-projects, whereas Alamo is tied more directly to municipal budgets, maintenance activity, and bolt-on acquisitions.
On momentum, Deere currently holds the edge. Its beat-and-raise quarter, rising guidance, and construction-led profitability have produced a sharp year-to-date advance, while Alamo has delivered steady but comparatively quieter gains. On stability and balance-sheet strength, Alamo stands out as a low-leverage, dividend-paying operator with a long history of profitability. Risk profiles also diverge: Deere faces a still-weak large-agriculture market and tariff-related input costs, while Alamo contends with soft municipal spending and integration risk from its recent deals. Sector exposure is another key difference, with Deere more heavily weighted to agriculture and Alamo more balanced across government and industrial end markets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, recent catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor DE in the current environment. Deere has exhibited stronger price momentum, a positive earnings revision trend, and a clear catalyst in its construction-led growth and raised guidance. ALG, by contrast, presents a steadier, more value-oriented profile with improving but less dramatic catalysts. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: the AI's preference reflects current trend strength and positioning, not a guarantee of future returns, and either stock could outperform as market conditions evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALG is a Hold and DE is a Buy.
ALG's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for ALG entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 214 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 129 of the 214 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 60%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALG as a result. In 42 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
ALG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ALG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALG advanced for three days, in 193 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
ALG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 52 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.508) is normal, around the industry mean (2.561). P/E Ratio (17.548) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.171). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.826) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.227) is also within normal values, averaging (1.128).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
DE's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for DE moved out of oversold territory on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 19 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 64 cases where DE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +1.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DE advanced for three days, in 200 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
DE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DE as a result. In 54 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DE turned negative on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 61%.
DE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator for DE entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DE's P/B Ratio (6.200) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.561). P/E Ratio (35.677) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.171). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.600) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. DE's P/S Ratio (3.868) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.128).
ALG | DE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 17 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 49 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 9 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALG's Valuation (52) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (82). This means that ALG’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for ALG (92). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than ALG’s over the last 12 months.
DE's SMR Rating (49) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (75). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (72). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
DE's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALG (49). This means that DE’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALG’s over the last 12 months.
| ALG | DE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 62% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 4 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 59% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while DE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ALG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ALG (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -3.53% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -1.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -3.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.90%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALG is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
DE is expected to report earnings on Nov 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-3.15% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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DE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DE has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DE jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.