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AGCO vs DE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) are leading manufacturers of agricultural equipment, with DE holding a significantly larger market capitalization and broader global presence.
- In recent weeks, DE has demonstrated stronger year-to-date performance with returns near 29%, compared to AGCO's approximately 12%.
- AGCO reported a solid first-quarter 2026 earnings beat and raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share (EPS) outlook to approximately $6.00.
- DE has benefited from recent tariff adjustments on agricultural equipment and an agreement with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) regarding repair tools.
- Analyst consensus ratings show DE with a Buy rating and higher price targets relative to AGCO's Hold rating.
- Both companies operate in a cyclical sector influenced by farm income, commodity prices, and trade policies, presenting similar risk profiles but differing scales of operations.
Introduction
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) represent two prominent players in the agricultural machinery industry, making them natural candidates for comparison among investors seeking exposure to the farm equipment sector. This analysis examines their relative performance, business models, and recent market dynamics to assist portfolio managers, institutional investors, and individual traders evaluating sector allocation decisions. The comparison focuses on observable factors such as earnings trends, analyst sentiment, and macroeconomic influences that have shaped their trajectories in recent market activity.
AGCO Overview and Recent Performance
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) designs, manufactures, and distributes a range of agricultural equipment, including tractors, combines, and precision farming technology under brands such as Massey Ferguson and Fendt. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in a range reflecting broader sector volatility tied to farm economics and input costs. The company delivered a first-quarter earnings beat, with adjusted EPS of $0.94 exceeding expectations, prompting an increase in its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to approximately $6.00 alongside net sales projections of $10.5 billion to $10.7 billion. Market sentiment has been supported by these results and a modest dividend increase, though the stock has lagged broader market gains with year-to-date returns around 12%.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company (DE), known for its John Deere brand, produces agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment with a strong emphasis on technology integration and aftermarket services. Recent market activity has shown resilience, with the stock posting year-to-date returns near 29% amid favorable tariff developments and an agreement with the FTC and states on equipment repair access. Earnings momentum from prior quarters and analyst upgrades, including several Buy ratings with targets above current levels, have contributed to positive positioning. The company maintains a larger operational footprint, which has helped stabilize performance relative to smaller peers during periods of uneven demand in key markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) share exposure to agricultural equipment demand but differ markedly in scale, with DE commanding a market capitalization exceeding $160 billion versus AGCO's approximately $8.4 billion. DE's diversified revenue streams, including construction equipment, provide greater resilience, while AGCO maintains a more concentrated focus on agricultural machinery. Recent momentum favors DE, supported by tariff relief and regulatory progress, whereas AGCO has highlighted internal improvements through earnings beats and cost discipline. Risk factors for both include commodity price fluctuations and trade policy shifts, though DE's larger size and global distribution network may offer advantages in navigating regional demand variations. Market sentiment, as reflected in analyst ratings, tilts more favorably toward DE with a consensus Buy rating compared to AGCO's Hold.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable metrics such as relative price stability, earnings consistency, and analyst positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable performance to Deere & Company (DE). The company's larger scale, stronger year-to-date returns, and positive catalysts including tariff adjustments contribute to this assessment, though outcomes remain subject to sector-wide variables and broader economic conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a Hold and DE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AGCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGCO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGCO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -3.58% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -7.81% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -4.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGCO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
DE is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-4.02% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| AGCO | DE | AGCO / DE | |
| Capitalization | 8.26B | 158B | 5% |
| EBITDA | 1.1B | 11.5B | 10% |
| Gain YTD | 9.865 | 26.485 | 37% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.00 | 33.18 | 33% |
| Revenue | 10.4B | 46.3B | 22% |
| Total Cash | 515M | 9.34B | 6% |
| Total Debt | 2.69B | 64.2B | 4% |
AGCO | DE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 27 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 93 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 47 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 26 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGCO's Valuation (21) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (27). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (93). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
DE's SMR Rating (47) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (47). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (53). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
DE's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (99). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AGCO | DE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 61% | 14 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 1 day ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 61% |
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AGCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGCO has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGCO jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 100% | -0.21% | ||
| CNH - AGCO | 75% Closely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| DE - AGCO | 69% Closely correlated | -0.21% | ||
| ALG - AGCO | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.47% | ||
| TEX - AGCO | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.76% | ||
| OSK - AGCO | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.33% | ||
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