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AGCO vs DE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) operate in the agricultural equipment sector, facing similar pressures from farm income trends and equipment demand cycles.
- Recent weeks showed AGCO experiencing sharper price declines following its second-quarter earnings report, with shares trading near $101 amid broader market volatility.
- DE demonstrated stronger year-to-date performance, with returns exceeding 30% compared to more modest or negative results for AGCO.
- Both companies maintain guidance amid industry headwinds, though DE benefits from a larger scale and diversified operations including construction equipment.
- Market sentiment reflects caution in the sector, with relative performance highlighting contrasts in resilience and momentum during recent market activity.
- Upcoming earnings for DE on August 20, 2026, and ongoing monitoring of ag fundamentals will likely influence near-term positioning for both stocks.
Introduction
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) represent leading players in the agricultural machinery industry, making their stocks a relevant comparison for investors and traders seeking exposure to farm equipment demand. This analysis examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning in the current environment, where sector dynamics such as commodity prices and equipment replacement cycles play key roles. Professional and retail investors monitoring industrial cyclicals or agribusiness trends may find this side-by-side review useful for assessing relative strengths amid evolving economic conditions.
AGCO Overview and Recent Performance
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) designs, manufactures, and distributes agricultural equipment, including tractors, combines, and precision farming technologies under brands such as Massey Ferguson and Fendt. In recent market activity, the stock has faced downward pressure, with shares trading around $101 following its second-quarter 2026 results that showed net sales of $2.61 billion, a modest year-over-year decline. Adjusted earnings per share came in slightly below expectations, contributing to an immediate share price reaction of approximately 7.8% lower on the report date. Broader performance metrics indicate underperformance relative to major benchmarks over the past month and quarter, reflecting sector-wide caution tied to farm economics. Sentiment has been influenced by these results and ongoing industry softness, though the company continues to emphasize cost management and product innovation.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company (DE) produces agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment, with its John Deere brand holding significant market share globally. The stock has shown greater resilience in recent weeks, maintaining prices near $609 and delivering year-to-date returns above 30%, outpacing broader market indices. The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 net income guidance in the mid-single-digit billions range during prior updates, providing a measure of stability. Upcoming third-quarter results scheduled for August 20, 2026, are anticipated with analyst estimates around $4.85 per share. Performance has benefited from scale advantages and diversified revenue streams, though the shares have experienced typical cyclical fluctuations aligned with agricultural market conditions. Recent sentiment appears supported by analyst attention and operational consistency amid shared industry challenges.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) share exposure to the agricultural equipment cycle but differ in scale and diversification. DE operates with a broader portfolio that includes construction machinery, providing additional revenue stability compared to AGCO’s more concentrated ag focus. Recent momentum favors DE, with stronger year-to-date gains and steadier price behavior, while AGCO has shown greater sensitivity to earnings surprises and sector sentiment shifts. Risk factors for both include commodity price volatility and farm spending patterns, though DE’s larger market capitalization and global footprint may offer relative buffering. Market positioning reflects DE’s established brand strength versus AGCO’s emphasis on specialized precision technologies. Trade-offs center on growth consistency versus potential value opportunities in periods of sector recovery.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative performance in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a higher probabilistic preference to DE over AGCO at present. DE’s stronger year-to-date returns, maintained guidance, and upcoming earnings catalyst contribute to a more stable positioning compared to AGCO’s recent earnings-related volatility. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to current data rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a Hold and DE is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AGCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGCO’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGCO’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а +5.41% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +6.34% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +1.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGCO is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
DE is expected to report earnings on Nov 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+1.40% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| AGCO | DE | AGCO / DE | |
| Capitalization | 7.48B | 175B | 4% |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 11.5B | 10% |
| Gain YTD | 3.175 | 39.839 | 8% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.77 | 35.99 | 41% |
| Revenue | 10.3B | 46.3B | 22% |
| Total Cash | 424M | 9.34B | 5% |
| Total Debt | 2.84B | 64.2B | 4% |
AGCO | DE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 86 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 20 Undervalued | 56 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 48 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 22 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGCO's Valuation (20) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DE (56). This means that AGCO’s stock grew somewhat faster than DE’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (100). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
DE's SMR Rating (48) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (62). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (73). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
DE's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (99). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AGCO | DE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 64% | 6 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 44% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | N/A |
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AGCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGCO has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGCO jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 100% | +2.68% | ||
| CNH - AGCO | 77% Closely correlated | +8.40% | ||
| DE - AGCO | 71% Closely correlated | +4.27% | ||
| OSK - AGCO | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.85% | ||
| PCAR - AGCO | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
| TEX - AGCO | 58% Loosely correlated | +3.55% | ||
More | ||||
DE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DE has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DE jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.