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AGCO vs DE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) operate in the agricultural equipment sector, with DE holding a significantly larger market capitalization of approximately $184 billion compared to AGCO’s roughly $8.5–9 billion.
- Recent quarterly results show DE reporting stronger revenue growth and an earnings beat in its fiscal third quarter 2026, while AGCO’s second-quarter 2026 sales declined modestly year-over-year amid regional demand softness.
- Stock performance over the past month reflects positive momentum for both, though DE has delivered substantially higher year-to-date returns amid broader market positioning advantages.
- Both companies face similar sector headwinds including fluctuating commodity prices, input costs, and varying regional demand, with DE benefiting from greater scale and diversified segment exposure.
- Market sentiment appears supported by operational discipline at both firms, though DE’s larger size and recent guidance raises contribute to relatively more stable positioning in recent market activity.
- Valuation metrics indicate AGCO trades at lower multiples, presenting potential trade-offs in growth versus value considerations for sector-focused investors.
Introduction
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) represent two prominent players in the agricultural machinery industry, making them natural subjects for comparison among investors and traders seeking exposure to the farm equipment sector. Both companies manufacture tractors, combines, and precision agriculture technologies, yet they differ markedly in scale, geographic reach, and financial profiles. This analysis examines their recent performance, business models, and relative positioning in the current market environment. The comparison is particularly relevant for those evaluating sector peers with differing risk-return characteristics, liquidity profiles, and sensitivity to agricultural cycles and macroeconomic factors.
AGCO Overview and Recent Performance
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) designs, manufactures, and distributes agricultural equipment under brands including Massey Ferguson, Fendt, and Challenger. The company focuses on tractors, harvesters, and precision farming solutions across global markets. In recent market activity, AGCO reported second-quarter 2026 net sales of $2.6 billion, a 1% decline year-over-year, reflecting moderating demand in Europe and Latin America. Adjusted earnings per share reached $1.43, supported by cost management and a favorable revenue mix despite lower volumes. Full-year guidance was adjusted to $10.1–10.2 billion in net sales and $5.50–5.75 in adjusted earnings per share. Recent weeks have seen share price fluctuations around the $119–120 level, with positive one-month returns amid product launches and operational adjustments to align production with dealer inventories.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company (DE), known for its John Deere brand, produces agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment with a broad global footprint. The company also offers financial services supporting equipment sales. In its fiscal third quarter 2026, DE reported net sales and revenues of $12.6 billion, up approximately 5% year-over-year, with equipment operations sales rising 6%. Diluted earnings per share of $5.10 exceeded expectations, prompting an upward revision to full-year net income guidance of $4.75–5.0 billion. Recent market activity shows the stock consolidating near $684 following the earnings release, with substantial year-to-date gains reflecting strength in construction and forestry segments offsetting softer large-agriculture demand in North America. Operational execution and segment diversification have supported sentiment in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) share exposure to the agricultural equipment cycle but diverge in scale and execution breadth. DE’s substantially larger market capitalization and diversified revenue streams across production agriculture, small ag and turf, and construction and forestry provide greater resilience compared to AGCO’s more concentrated focus on agricultural machinery. Recent momentum favors DE following its fiscal third-quarter earnings beat and guidance increase, while AGCO has emphasized cost discipline and market share gains amid softer European and Latin American demand. Risk factors include commodity price volatility and regional policy impacts for both, though DE’s size may moderate relative share-price swings. Market sentiment reflects DE’s stronger recent positioning and higher trading multiples, balanced against AGCO’s comparatively lower valuation metrics that could appeal to value-oriented sector participants.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as earnings consistency, segment stability, and relative market positioning in recent activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Deere & Company (DE). The company’s scale, diversified operations, and recent guidance raises suggest more consistent trend support compared to AGCO’s narrower focus and modest sales contraction. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to prevailing conditions rather than a definitive outlook.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a StrongBuy and DE is a StrongBuy.
AGCO | DE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 74 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 17 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 61 | 49 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGCO's Valuation (21) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DE (68). This means that AGCO’s stock grew somewhat faster than DE’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (100). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
DE's SMR Rating (49) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (61). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (54). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
DE's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (99). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AGCO | DE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 62% | 10 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while DE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AGCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGCO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGCO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- DE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -3.79% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -3.75% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGCO is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
DE is expected to report earnings on Nov 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+0.96% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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AGCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGCO has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGCO jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 100% | -2.12% | ||
| CNH - AGCO | 77% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| DE - AGCO | 70% Closely correlated | -0.64% | ||
| TWI - AGCO | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.29% | ||
| OSK - AGCO | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.55% | ||
| LNN - AGCO | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.39% | ||
More | ||||
DE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DE has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DE jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.