AGCO
Price
$112.05
Change
-$1.88 (-1.65%)
Updated
Jun 23, 04:01 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
8.25B
30 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
DE
Price
$592.24
Change
-$6.35 (-1.06%)
Updated
Jun 23, 04:05 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
161.58B
58 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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AGCO vs DE

AGCO vs DE Comparison Chart in %
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Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • AGCO posted a modest 1.1% year‑over‑year revenue rise in its latest quarter, while Deere’s sales fell 28% YoY, reflecting divergent market momentum.
  • AGCO’s earnings per share (EPS) rebounded to $1.30 (GAAP) after a loss‑making prior year; Deere’s EPS dropped to $4.55 in Q4 2024, a steep decline from $8.26 a year earlier.
  • Both companies face a soft farming outlook, but Deere is contending with larger workforce reductions and broader profit compression.
  • AGCO’s dividend was raised to $0.30 per share, underscoring cash‑flow confidence; Deere’s dividend remains unchanged at $1.56 per share.
  • Tickeron’s AI models currently favor the stock with steadier trend consistency and higher cash‑generation margin.

Introduction

AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Deere & Company (DE) dominate the global agricultural‑equipment landscape, yet their recent financial results and market sentiment have diverged. This comparison is relevant for both growth‑oriented traders watching short‑term catalysts and long‑term investors weighing sector exposure, dividend stability, and balance‑sheet resilience.

AGCO Overview and Recent Performance

AGCO designs, manufactures, and distributes a broad portfolio of tractors, combines, sprayers and precision‑ag technologies under brands such as Fendt®, Massey Ferguson®, and Valtra®. In its third‑quarter 2024 earnings release (early October 2024), the company reported net sales of $2.5 billion, a 4.7% YoY decline, but beat analyst expectations by roughly 9.6% on a constant‑currency basis. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose to $1.30 from a loss‑making prior quarter, and the firm posted an operating margin of 7.9%—the highest in recent years.

Key drivers include a rebound in European demand (sales up 27.5% YoY) and the continued rollout of smart farming solutions that command pricing premiums. Conversely, North American sales fell 32.1% YoY, reflecting tighter farm credit and elevated input costs. AGCO’s board declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share (up from $0.29), signaling confidence in free‑cash‑flow generation despite a challenging macro environment.

Balance‑sheet metrics remain solid: net cash of $884 million versus long‑term debt of $2.73 billion, yielding a net‑debt‑to‑EBITDA ratio near 1.4×. The company’s free‑cash‑flow margin expanded to 23.1% in the quarter, providing headroom for continued share‑repurchases and technology investment.

DE Overview and Recent Performance

Deere & Company (DE) is the world’s largest manufacturer of high‑horsepower tractors, harvesters, and construction equipment. Its FY2024 fourth‑quarter report (November 21 2024) showed net sales of $9.28 billion, down 28% YoY, and net income of $1.245 billion, translating to $4.55 EPS—down more than 45% from the prior year’s $8.26 EPS. The decline mirrors weaker global crop pricing, reduced farmer capital spending, and a significant workforce reduction of roughly 300 employees in its Iowa and Illinois plants.

Deere’s operating margin slipped to 7.9% in Q4 2024, while its forward price‑to‑earnings (P/E) ratio sits near 13.7×, modestly above the sector average. The company continues to pay a $1.56 quarterly dividend, unchanged from earlier in the year, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns despite earnings pressure.

On the balance sheet, Deere holds $399 million in cash and $13.1 billion in total debt, resulting in a higher leverage profile (net‑debt‑to‑EBITDA around 2.6×). Free‑cash‑flow generation remains robust relative to earnings, but the recent cash‑burn from plant restructuring and dealer‑finance exposure introduces volatility.

Trending AI Robots

Tickeron maintains a curated “Trending AI Robots” page that showcases the platform’s most effective AI trading bots. While the marketplace hosts hundreds of bots covering thousands of tickers, only the top‑performing models—selected for consistent profitability, risk‑adjusted returns, and alignment with current market dynamics—appear in this section. Bots vary widely: some employ high‑frequency scalping, others use longer‑term trend‑following or mean‑reversion strategies, and each displays distinct win‑rate, Sharpe ratio, and drawdown characteristics. Traders can explore these bots, review detailed performance statistics, and deploy the ones that best match their risk tolerance and time horizon.

Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Business Model: Both companies sell equipment through dealer networks, but AGCO’s portfolio emphasizes mid‑range and premium brands, while Deere focuses on high‑horsepower, high‑margin machinery.
  • Growth Drivers: AGCO’s growth is tied to precision‑ag adoption and European market recovery; Deere relies on large‑scale equipment sales and construction‑segment diversification.
  • Recent Momentum: AGCO posted a modest sales bounce and dividend hike, whereas Deere experienced a sharp sales contraction and workforce cuts.
  • Risk Factors: AGCO faces commodity‑price volatility and currency swings in Europe; Deere is exposed to higher leverage, labor‑related disruptions, and a broader macro‑economic slowdown.
  • Sector Exposure: Both are in the industrial‑products sector, but AGCO’s diversified regional mix provides a slight buffer against a single‑region downturn.
  • Market Sentiment: Analyst consensus rates Deere as a “Hold” (44% buy, 48% hold, 8% sell) with a modest forward‑P/E; AGCO enjoys a “Buy” tilt from several sell‑side houses following its earnings beat.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors—trend consistency, earnings stability, and free‑cash‑flow strength—Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a slightly higher probability of outperformance to AGCO. The company’s recent earnings beat, dividend increase, and improving cash‑margin suggest a more stable short‑term trajectory. Deere, while larger, is contending with a steeper sales decline and higher leverage, which introduces greater volatility. Consequently, AI‑driven bots that prioritize lower drawdown and consistent momentum are more likely to favor AGCO in the current environment.

Disclaimer

“The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.” Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
AGCO vs. DE commentary
Jun 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a Hold and DE is a StrongBuy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jun 23, 2026
Stock price -- (AGCO: $113.92 vs. DE: $598.59)
Brand notoriety: AGCO: Not notable vs. DE: Notable
Both companies represent the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: AGCO: 87% vs. DE: 71%
Market capitalization -- AGCO: $8.25B vs. DE: $161.58B
AGCO [@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery] is valued at $8.25B. DE’s [@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery] market capitalization is $161.58B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery] industry ranges from $470.85B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery] industry is $31.31B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

AGCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).

  • AGCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • DE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
According to our system of comparison, DE is a better buy in the long-term than AGCO.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

AGCO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • AGCO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • DE’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, DE is a better buy in the short-term than AGCO.

Price Growth

AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а +1.23% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +4.02% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +2.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.61%.

Reported Earning Dates

AGCO is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.

DE is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+2.57% weekly)

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
DE($162B) has a higher market cap than AGCO($8.25B). DE has higher P/E ratio than AGCO: DE (33.91) vs AGCO (10.99). DE YTD gains are higher at: 28.947 vs. AGCO (9.711). DE has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 11.5B vs. AGCO (1.1B). DE has more cash in the bank: 9.34B vs. AGCO (515M). AGCO has less debt than DE: AGCO (2.69B) vs DE (64.2B). DE has higher revenues than AGCO: DE (46.3B) vs AGCO (10.4B).
AGCODEAGCO / DE
Capitalization8.25B162B5%
EBITDA1.1B11.5B10%
Gain YTD9.71128.94734%
P/E Ratio10.9933.9132%
Revenue10.4B46.3B22%
Total Cash515M9.34B6%
Total Debt2.69B64.2B4%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
AGCO vs DE: Fundamental Ratings
AGCO
DE
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
830
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
21
Undervalued
40
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
10025
SMR RATING
1..100
4747
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
5128
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
9925
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
3250

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

AGCO's Valuation (21) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (40). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.

DE's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (100). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.

DE's SMR Rating (47) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (47). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.

DE's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (51). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.

DE's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (99). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AGCODE
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
55%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
65%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
67%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
63%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
59%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
58%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
58%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 14 days ago
65%
Bearish Trend 16 days ago
60%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
60%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
56%
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AGCO
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
DE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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AGCO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGCO has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGCO jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AGCO
1D Price
Change %
AGCO100%
+0.23%
CNH - AGCO
75%
Closely correlated
-0.76%
DE - AGCO
67%
Closely correlated
+1.59%
PCAR - AGCO
63%
Loosely correlated
+0.98%
ALG - AGCO
60%
Loosely correlated
-0.19%
TEX - AGCO
58%
Loosely correlated
+3.17%
More

DE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DE has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DE jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To DE
1D Price
Change %
DE100%
+1.59%
CNH - DE
70%
Closely correlated
-0.76%
AGCO - DE
66%
Loosely correlated
+0.23%
ALG - DE
51%
Loosely correlated
-0.19%
CAT - DE
49%
Loosely correlated
+3.70%
PCAR - DE
45%
Loosely correlated
+0.98%
More