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CNH vs DE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CNH Industrial (CNH) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CNH Industrial and Deere & Company operate in the agricultural and construction equipment sector, with overlapping exposure to farm machinery demand and global trade conditions.
- DE has delivered stronger year-to-date price performance through recent market activity compared with CNH, reflecting differences in scale and market positioning.
- Both companies face sector headwinds including expected equipment sales declines and tariff-related margin pressures, though analyst sentiment remains generally constructive on each.
- CNH trades at a lower absolute price point with a narrower 52-week range, while DE maintains a higher valuation consistent with its larger market capitalization and historical returns.
- Recent weeks show mixed price behavior amid earnings anticipation for CNH and post-earnings digestion for DE, with relative performance influenced by broader industrial goods sentiment.
- Market positioning favors DE on momentum metrics, while CNH offers potential valuation appeal depending on upcoming quarterly results.
Introduction
CNH Industrial (CNH) and Deere & Company (DE) represent two leading publicly traded companies in the agricultural and construction equipment industry. This comparison examines their recent stock performance, business characteristics, and relative positioning within the current market environment. Institutional investors, portfolio managers, and active traders focused on industrial and machinery sectors may find this analysis relevant when evaluating sector exposure, relative value, and momentum signals. The review draws on observable market data and developments from recent weeks to highlight contrasts without forward-looking speculation.
CNH Overview and Recent Performance
CNH Industrial N.V. designs, manufactures, and distributes agricultural and construction equipment under brands including Case IH and New Holland. The company serves global markets with products ranging from tractors and combines to excavators and loaders. In recent market activity, CNH shares have traded in the $10 to $11 range, closing near $10.25 on July 31, 2026, within a 52-week band of approximately $9.00 to $13.31. Year-to-date returns have been positive amid broader sector interest, though the stock has shown volatility ahead of its second-quarter earnings release scheduled for August 3. Analyst coverage in recent weeks includes multiple buy ratings and modest price-target increases, supporting sentiment despite anticipated equipment demand softness. Performance has been influenced by tariff adjustments and leadership transitions noted in company announcements.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company produces agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment under the John Deere brand, complemented by financial services offerings. The firm holds a significant global market share in large agricultural machinery. DE shares closed at $592.67 on July 31, 2026, within a 52-week range of roughly $433.00 to $674.19. Year-to-date gains have exceeded 28 percent through recent periods, outpacing broader market benchmarks in some intervals. Second-quarter results released earlier showed net income slightly lower year-over-year alongside revenue growth, with management noting expected sales declines in large equipment for the fiscal year. Recent price action reflects post-earnings adjustment, with the stock maintaining elevated levels relative to its longer-term range. Sentiment draws support from institutional ownership patterns and sector tailwinds tied to agricultural fundamentals.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CNH Industrial and Deere & Company derive the majority of revenue from agricultural equipment, exposing them to similar cyclical drivers such as farm income, commodity prices, and weather patterns. DE operates at larger scale with broader diversification into construction and financial services, contributing to historically higher returns over multi-year periods. Recent momentum has favored DE, with stronger year-to-date appreciation amid reported earnings stability. CNH exhibits a lower share price and potentially narrower valuation multiples, offering different entry characteristics for traders. Risk factors include shared sensitivity to tariffs and input costs, though DE’s larger balance sheet may provide greater resilience during demand softening. Market sentiment remains positive for both based on analyst activity, with contrasts centered on size, diversification, and relative price trajectory rather than fundamental divergence.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic preference to DE. Stronger year-to-date performance and established scale provide measurable stability signals compared with CNH’s narrower trading range and near-term earnings catalyst. The assessment remains probabilistic and subject to shifts in momentum or sector data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNH is a StrongBuy and DE is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNH’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileDE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CNH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- DE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNH’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CNH (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -4.24% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -0.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +3.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.96%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNH is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
DE is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+3.19% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| CNH | DE | CNH / DE | |
| Capitalization | 16.7B | 165B | 10% |
| EBITDA | 2.6B | 11.5B | 23% |
| Gain YTD | 13.778 | 32.260 | 43% |
| P/E Ratio | 41.56 | 34.70 | 120% |
| Revenue | 18.1B | 46.3B | 39% |
| Total Cash | 1.6B | 9.34B | 17% |
| Total Debt | 26.2B | 64.2B | 41% |
CNH | DE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 51 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 22 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 86 | 48 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CNH's Valuation (28) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (51). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for CNH (100). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
DE's SMR Rating (48) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNH (86). This means that DE’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (60). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (18). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
| CNH | DE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 66% | 15 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 55% |
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CNH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNH has been closely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNH jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CNH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNH | 100% | -3.17% | ||
| AGCO - CNH | 77% Closely correlated | -2.07% | ||
| DE - CNH | 72% Closely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| OSK - CNH | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.77% | ||
| TEX - CNH | 61% Loosely correlated | -2.93% | ||
| PCAR - CNH | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.26% | ||
More | ||||
DE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DE has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DE jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.