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CNH vs DE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CNH Industrial (CNH) vs. Deere & Company (DE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CNH has delivered stronger short-term momentum, with approximately 34% gains over the past month versus roughly 16-18% for DE.
- Both companies operate in the farm and heavy construction machinery sector and have seen support from analyst upgrades citing signs of agricultural equipment demand recovery.
- DE maintains a substantially larger market capitalization of around $184 billion compared to CNH’s approximately $17-23 billion range.
- Recent quarterly results showed DE beating earnings expectations with raised full-year guidance, while CNH highlighted an emissions software update and strategic alliances.
- Profitability metrics favor DE, which reports higher operating margins and return on equity relative to CNH.
- Year-to-date performance has been comparable, with both stocks advancing approximately 47-48% amid broader sector stabilization.
Introduction
CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH) and Deere & Company (DE) represent two leading players in the agricultural and construction equipment industry. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, business positioning, and relative performance within the current market environment. Investors and traders focused on the industrials sector, particularly those monitoring farm machinery demand cycles, may find the analysis relevant for assessing diversification opportunities or tactical allocation between a larger, more established manufacturer and a smaller peer with distinct regional exposures. The review draws on observable price action, earnings developments, and sector sentiment over recent weeks to provide a balanced perspective.
CNH Overview and Recent Performance
CNH Industrial N.V. designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural and construction equipment globally, with operations spanning multiple continents. In recent market activity, CNH shares have exhibited pronounced upward momentum, advancing more than 30% over the past month amid announcements including an emissions software update program and a strategic alliance to expand its seeding portfolio. The stock traded near $13.45 in mid-September 2026 following a period of elevated volatility and volume, reflecting investor focus on valuation debates and potential demand stabilization in agriculture. Year-to-date returns have reached approximately 47%, outpacing broader market benchmarks in the short term while the company continues to navigate industry cyclicality.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company produces agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment and provides related financial services. DE shares have advanced steadily, closing near $683.99 in mid-September 2026 after reporting third-quarter results that exceeded expectations with revenue of $12.61 billion and a raised full-year net income outlook. The stock posted roughly 16-18% gains over the past month and approximately 48% year-to-date, supported by favorable pricing, volume improvements in certain segments, and dividend declarations. Market participants have noted the company’s diversified portfolio as a buffer during periods of softer large-agriculture demand in key regions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CNH and DE compete in the same machinery sub-industry, yet differ markedly in scale, with DE holding a market capitalization roughly eight to ten times larger. Growth drivers for each include agricultural cycle recovery, fleet replacement demand, and construction activity, though CNH carries greater exposure to certain international markets and has highlighted recent software-driven product enhancements. Recent momentum has favored CNH on a relative basis over the past several weeks, while DE demonstrates superior long-term profitability, with higher operating margins and return on equity. Risk factors include commodity price sensitivity and inventory dynamics for both, with CNH exhibiting higher historical volatility. Market sentiment has improved for the sector following analyst upgrades, though trade-offs remain between DE’s stability and CNH’s potential for sharper short-term moves.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent trend consistency, short-term price momentum, and positioning within the recovering agricultural equipment cycle, Tickeron’s AI models may currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to CNH. The stock’s pronounced gains and volume-supported advance over recent weeks suggest stronger near-term alignment with prevailing sentiment compared with DE’s more measured trajectory. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market data rather than a definitive recommendation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNH is a Hold and DE is a StrongBuy.
CNH | DE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 49 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CNH's Valuation (57) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (68). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for CNH (100). This means that DE’s stock grew significantly faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
DE's SMR Rating (49) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNH (84). This means that DE’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
DE's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (58). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (11). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
| CNH | DE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 61% | 21 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 67% | 5 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 55% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while DE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CNH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CNH (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -12.41% price change this week, while DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -7.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -6.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.57%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNH is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
DE is expected to report earnings on Nov 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-6.66% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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CNH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNH has been closely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNH jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CNH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNH | 100% | +2.28% | ||
| AGCO - CNH | 77% Closely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| TEX - CNH | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| PCAR - CNH | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| LNN - CNH | 53% Loosely correlated | +1.04% | ||
| ASTE - CNH | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.99% | ||
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DE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DE has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DE jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.