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DE vs PCAR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Deere & Company (DE) vs. PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Deere & Company (DE) has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 30-31% compared to PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) at around 20%, both outperforming the S&P 500.
- DE operates primarily in agricultural equipment while PCAR focuses on heavy-duty trucks, exposing each to distinct cyclical drivers in farming and transportation sectors.
- Recent market activity shows DE preparing for third-quarter earnings on August 20, 2026, with analysts projecting EPS of $4.85, amid steady agricultural demand signals.
- PCAR reported solid Q2 results with earnings beats and maintained positive analyst sentiment, supported by strength in parts and services revenue.
- Both stocks trade at premium valuations within the industrials sector, with DE exhibiting higher volatility tied to commodity prices and PCAR benefiting from fleet renewal cycles.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between DE's growth in precision agriculture technology and PCAR's stability in North American trucking markets.
Introduction
Deere & Company (DE) and PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) represent two prominent players in the industrials sector, each tied to critical segments of the economy: agriculture and commercial transportation. This comparison examines their recent performance, business models, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating exposure to cyclical industrial names. Those interested in diversified portfolios or sector rotation strategies may find the analysis relevant for assessing relative strengths in the current environment.
DE Overview and Recent Performance
Deere & Company (DE) is a leading manufacturer of agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment, with a significant focus on precision farming technologies. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near $609, reflecting a year-to-date gain of roughly 30-31% that has outpaced broader market benchmarks. Recent market activity indicates investor attention on upcoming third-quarter results, with analysts estimating earnings per share (EPS) of $4.85 and revenue around $10.8 billion. Sentiment has been influenced by maintained fiscal 2026 profit guidance and signs of stabilization in agricultural markets, though offset by periodic concerns over equipment demand softness.
PCAR Overview and Recent Performance
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) designs and manufactures heavy-duty trucks under brands including Peterbilt and Kenworth, alongside a robust parts and services business. The stock recently closed around $131, posting year-to-date returns of approximately 20% alongside a one-year gain near 34%. Recent market activity highlights a second-quarter earnings beat and continued analyst upgrades through July, supported by resilient parts revenue and steady truck demand. Sentiment remains constructive amid fleet modernization trends, though tempered by broader economic indicators affecting freight volumes.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Deere & Company (DE) and PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) differ markedly in business models: DE derives the majority of revenue from agricultural machinery and related technology solutions, while PCAR concentrates on Class 8 trucks and aftermarket parts. Growth drivers for DE center on farm income levels and adoption of autonomous equipment, whereas PCAR benefits from transportation fleet cycles and regulatory-driven upgrades. In recent momentum, DE has shown superior year-to-date appreciation, though PCAR has demonstrated more consistent analyst support. Risk factors include DE's sensitivity to commodity price swings and weather patterns versus PCAR's exposure to freight recession risks and supply chain constraints. Sector exposure places both in industrials, yet DE carries heavier agriculture cyclicality while PCAR aligns more closely with economic activity indicators. Market sentiment appears balanced, with neither stock showing pronounced outperformance in volatility-adjusted terms over the broader period.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as stronger recent relative returns and positioning ahead of earnings catalysts, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term momentum to Deere & Company (DE) over PACCAR Inc. (PCAR). Trend consistency and sector-specific tailwinds appear more pronounced for DE in the latest data, though outcomes remain subject to earnings execution and macroeconomic variables.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DE is a Hold and PCAR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DE’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePCAR’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- DE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PCAR’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DE’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PCAR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PCAR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DE (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -6.32% price change this week, while PCAR (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -2.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -1.51%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.67%.
Reported Earning Dates
DE is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
PCAR is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-1.51% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| DE | PCAR | DE / PCAR | |
| Capitalization | 157B | 67.1B | 234% |
| EBITDA | 11.5B | 3.62B | 318% |
| Gain YTD | 25.403 | 17.376 | 146% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.90 | 26.84 | 123% |
| Revenue | 46.3B | 27.8B | 167% |
| Total Cash | 9.34B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 64.2B | 14.7B | 437% |
DE | PCAR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 26 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 32 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 41 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PCAR's Valuation (26) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (45). This means that PCAR’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (26). This means that PCAR’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
DE's SMR Rating (48) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PCAR (63). This means that DE’s stock grew similarly to PCAR’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's Price Growth Rating (32) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (52). This means that PCAR’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DE (24). This means that PCAR’s stock grew similarly to DE’s over the last 12 months.
| DE | PCAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 59% | 24 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 52% |
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DE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DE has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DE jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.
PCAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PCAR has been loosely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PCAR jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PCAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCAR | 100% | -0.43% | ||
| AGCO - PCAR | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.09% | ||
| TWI - PCAR | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.71% | ||
| OSK - PCAR | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| TEX - PCAR | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.26% | ||
| CNH - PCAR | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.59% | ||
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