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ALGT vs ALK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) vs. Alaska Air Group (ALK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALGT has outperformed ALK in recent market activity, gaining over 11% in the past month compared to ALK's 13% monthly rise but with stronger year-to-date momentum at +7.65% versus ALK's -13.44%.
- ALGT trades at a lower trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.88 versus ALK's 52.46, suggesting better relative valuation.
- Both stocks face high debt-to-equity ratios around 177-178%, reflecting industry leverage amid fuel cost pressures.
- ALGT's smaller market cap of $1.69 billion contrasts with ALK's $4.93 billion, offering different scale exposure in the airline sector.
- Recent sentiment for ALGT benefits from raised profit outlooks and deal approvals, while ALK contends with Q1 earnings misses and suspended guidance.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ALGT and ALK, two players in the competitive U.S. airline industry. Allegiant Travel Company focuses on leisure routes to underserved markets, while Alaska Air Group operates a broader network with recent merger integrations. Traders seeking sector exposure amid fluctuating fuel prices and travel demand, or investors evaluating relative performance in regional carriers, will find value in analyzing their business models, recent momentum, and risk profiles. This analysis highlights key contrasts in the current market environment to inform objective decision-making.
ALGT Overview and Recent Performance
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) is a low-cost carrier emphasizing point-to-point leisure travel from mid-sized cities to vacation destinations. In recent weeks, ALGT shares have risen approximately 11-16%, extending a robust one-year gain of over 124%. This momentum stems from strong passenger demand offsetting elevated fuel costs, as evidenced by the company's raised first-quarter profit outlook. Key developments include U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) approvals for joint operations and potential acquisitions, bolstering capacity growth prospects. Trading near $90-92 with a 52-week range of $39.80-$118.00, sentiment reflects optimism for operational resilience despite industry headwinds.
ALK Overview and Recent Performance
Alaska Air Group (ALK) operates Alaska Airlines and regional affiliates, with a West Coast hub network enhanced by its Hawaiian Airlines merger. Recent market activity shows ALK up about 13% in the past month but down 13.44% year-to-date, trading around $43-45 within a 52-week range of $33.03-$65.88. First-quarter results featured 5.2% revenue growth to $3.3 billion but an adjusted loss of $1.68 per share (earnings per share, EPS), missing estimates amid higher costs of available seat miles (CASM). The company suspended full-year guidance due to fuel price volatility, tempering sentiment despite capacity increases and strategic partnerships.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALGT and ALK both navigate airline sector risks like fuel volatility and debt loads near 178% debt-to-equity, but differ in scale and strategy. ALGT's lean, leisure-focused model drives nimble growth via underserved routes, contrasting ALK's larger network post-merger, which offers diversified revenue but integration challenges. Recent momentum favors ALGT's consistent uptrend versus ALK's volatility. Valuation metrics highlight ALGT's attractive trailing P/E of 15.88 and price-to-sales of 0.64 against ALK's pricier multiples. Growth drivers include ALGT's demand resilience and deal momentum, while ALK benefits from capacity expansion yet faces cost pressures. Market sentiment leans positive for ALGT's relative stability amid broader sector recovery.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors ALGT over ALK based on superior trend consistency, relative momentum, and valuation positioning in recent market activity. ALGT's outperformance and positive catalysts suggest higher probability of near-term upside, though airline risks persist for both.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALGT is a Hold and ALK is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALGT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileALK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALGT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ALK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALGT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ALK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALGT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ALK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ALGT (@Airlines) experienced а -6.90% price change this week, while ALK (@Airlines) price change was -8.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was -6.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.89%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALGT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
ALK is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (-6.63% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
| ALGT | ALK | ALGT / ALK | |
| Capitalization | 2.27B | 4.76B | 48% |
| EBITDA | 336M | 1.11B | 30% |
| Gain YTD | -0.938 | -15.129 | 6% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.91 | 87.12 | 21% |
| Revenue | 2.64B | 14.4B | 18% |
| Total Cash | 902M | 1.77B | 51% |
| Total Debt | 1.85B | 6.67B | 28% |
ALGT | ALK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 27 Undervalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 93 | 90 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 92 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALGT's Valuation (27) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (79). This means that ALGT’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
ALGT's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (100). This means that ALGT’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's SMR Rating (90) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALGT (93). This means that ALK’s stock grew similarly to ALGT’s over the last 12 months.
ALGT's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (56). This means that ALGT’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Airlines industry is significantly better than the same rating for ALGT (92). This means that ALK’s stock grew significantly faster than ALGT’s over the last 12 months.
| ALGT | ALK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 74% | 9 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 72% |
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ALK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALK has been closely correlated with SKYW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALK jumps, then SKYW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALK | 100% | +1.96% | ||
| SKYW - ALK | 72% Closely correlated | +2.66% | ||
| AAL - ALK | 72% Closely correlated | -1.99% | ||
| ALGT - ALK | 68% Closely correlated | +1.80% | ||
| SNCY - ALK | 65% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| JBLU - ALK | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.47% | ||
More | ||||