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ALK vs LTM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alaska Air Group (ALK) vs. LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALK operates primarily as a U.S. carrier with strong on-time performance metrics, while LTM serves Latin American markets with a focus on international route expansion.
- Recent market activity shows LTM delivering stronger year-over-year total returns compared to ALK, which has faced more variable price movements amid fuel cost pressures.
- Both stocks operate in the airline sector, exposing them to similar risks such as fuel price volatility and economic sensitivity, though their geographic footprints create distinct growth drivers.
- Upcoming earnings reports for both companies in late July 2026 provide near-term catalysts that could influence relative sentiment.
- ALK has seen multiple analyst price target increases in recent weeks, while LTM benefits from reported traffic growth in international operations.
- Market positioning favors stability in domestic U.S. operations for ALK versus higher-growth potential in emerging markets for LTM.
Introduction
This comparison examines ALK and LTM, two airline stocks with differing geographic exposures and operational focuses. Investors and traders seeking to understand relative performance within the aviation sector may find the analysis relevant, particularly those evaluating U.S.-centric carriers against Latin American operators amid evolving fuel costs, traffic trends, and analyst sentiment. The review highlights verifiable developments from recent market activity to support informed evaluation of their positioning.
ALK Overview and Recent Performance
Alaska Air Group, Inc. operates Alaska Airlines and regional carriers, serving routes primarily across the U.S. West Coast, Alaska, and Hawaii. In recent weeks, the stock has traded around the $49 level with mixed daily movements, reflecting broader sector influences such as fuel prices and operational metrics. The company reported strong flight completion rates near 99% during peak holiday periods and maintained leadership in on-time performance for the first half of the year. Multiple analyst firms raised price targets in June and early July, citing resilience despite guidance adjustments related to costs. Earnings are scheduled for late July 2026, which may shape near-term sentiment.
LTM Overview and Recent Performance
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. provides passenger and cargo services across Latin America and international routes. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near $56–57, supported by year-over-year traffic improvements, including 3.6% growth in June alongside capacity increases. The company benefits from international operations expansion and has posted stronger trailing returns over the past year relative to broader benchmarks. An earnings release is anticipated around late July 2026. Recent developments include scheduled shareholder meetings and positive traffic data that have contributed to steady positioning amid regional economic factors.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALK and LTM share airline sector exposure but differ markedly in business models and geographic focus. ALK emphasizes domestic U.S. routes with premium cabin enhancements and operational reliability, while LTM drives growth through international capacity and Latin American connectivity. Recent momentum favors LTM with more robust multi-month returns, whereas ALK has encountered greater volatility tied to fuel expenses. Risk factors include common elements like fuel costs and demand fluctuations, though LTM faces additional currency and regional economic considerations. Market sentiment reflects analyst optimism for both via recent target revisions, yet trade-offs emerge in stability versus expansion potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, traffic data, and relative returns, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to LTM due to stronger recent performance metrics and international growth indicators. ALK remains competitive through operational strengths and analyst support, though its positioning shows more sensitivity to cost pressures in recent activity. This assessment draws from verifiable patterns rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALK is a Buy and LTM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileLTM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ALK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LTM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALK’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LTM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LTM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ALK (@Airlines) experienced а -3.27% price change this week, while LTM (@Airlines) price change was +0.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was -8.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALK is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
LTM is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (-8.91% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
| ALK | LTM | ALK / LTM | |
| Capitalization | 5.22B | 16.4B | 32% |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 2.51B | 44% |
| Gain YTD | -6.958 | -1.012 | 687% |
| P/E Ratio | 95.51 | 9.22 | 1,036% |
| Revenue | 14.4B | 15B | 96% |
| Total Cash | 1.77B | 2.59B | 68% |
| Total Debt | 6.67B | 8.4B | 79% |
ALK | LTM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 67 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALK's Valuation (75) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as LTM (76). This means that ALK’s stock grew similarly to LTM’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Airlines industry is significantly better than the same rating for ALK (100). This means that LTM’s stock grew significantly faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's SMR Rating (11) in the Airlines industry is significantly better than the same rating for ALK (90). This means that LTM’s stock grew significantly faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (44). This means that LTM’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Airlines industry is significantly better than the same rating for LTM (71). This means that ALK’s stock grew significantly faster than LTM’s over the last 12 months.
| ALK | LTM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 43% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 41% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 47% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 76% | 20 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 74% |
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ALK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALK has been closely correlated with AAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALK jumps, then AAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALK | 100% | -5.30% | ||
| AAL - ALK | 72% Closely correlated | -3.78% | ||
| ULCC - ALK | 60% Loosely correlated | -5.33% | ||
| LTM - ALK | 59% Loosely correlated | -5.53% | ||
| VLRS - ALK | 48% Loosely correlated | -5.52% | ||
| SRFM - ALK | 28% Poorly correlated | -8.53% | ||
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LTM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LTM has been closely correlated with CPA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LTM jumps, then CPA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LTM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | 100% | -5.53% | ||
| CPA - LTM | 71% Closely correlated | -4.34% | ||
| ALK - LTM | 59% Loosely correlated | -5.30% | ||
| RYAAY - LTM | 59% Loosely correlated | -1.11% | ||
| UAL - LTM | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.84% | ||
| SKYW - LTM | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.95% | ||
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