Advertisement
LTM vs RYAAY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) vs. Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LTM has outperformed RYAAY over the past year, gaining roughly 16% while Ryanair shares have declined around 25% in 2026.
- Both carriers face the same macro headwind — sharply higher jet fuel tied to Middle East tensions — but their hedging and cost profiles differ meaningfully.
- LATAM recently beat earnings expectations, raised full-year adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) guidance, and received analyst upgrades.
- Ryanair's CEO has warned of a potentially historic rise in European airfares while flagging that the airline is largely unhedged on fuel next year.
- Investor sentiment currently skews more constructive on LATAM's relative momentum and pricing power than on Ryanair's near-term fuel-cost risk.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines two prominent airlines listed as American Depositary Receipts (ADRs): LTM (LATAM Airlines Group), Latin America's largest carrier, and RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings), Europe's leading low-cost airline. Both operate in a global aviation industry grappling with elevated jet-fuel prices and geopolitical uncertainty, yet they differ sharply in business model, geography, and recent relative performance. Traders and investors seeking exposure to the airline sector — or evaluating which operator is better positioned in the current environment — may find this comparison useful for understanding market positioning, growth drivers, and risk factors.
LTM Overview and Recent Performance
LATAM Airlines Group, based in Santiago, Chile, is a full-service network carrier operating passenger and cargo services across domestic South American markets and long-haul international routes. In recent weeks, LTM has delivered comparatively resilient results. Its latest quarterly report showed earnings and revenue exceeding consensus estimates, with revenue rising roughly 27% year over year and passenger unit revenue climbing in the mid-teens on stronger fares and premium demand. The LATAM Pass loyalty program, now exceeding 55 million members, continues to support revenue quality.
Sentiment has been supported by analyst upgrades, including moves to Overweight and Buy ratings with price targets near or above $60. However, fuel costs remain a headwind: aircraft fuel expense roughly doubled year over year, compressing the adjusted operating margin from double digits to the mid-single digits. LATAM has responded by raising its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance and maintaining a solid liquidity position with adjusted net leverage near 1.5 times.
RYAAY Overview and Recent Performance
Ryanair Holdings, headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, is Europe's largest ultra-low-cost carrier, carrying more than 200 million passengers annually and operating a fleet of more than 600 Boeing 737 aircraft. Recent market activity for RYAAY has been more challenging. The stock has fallen roughly 25% in 2026, trading near its 52-week low, in what would mark its weakest annual performance since 2018 if sustained.
Ryanair's fiscal fourth quarter produced a narrower-than-expected loss and higher revenue, and its load factor (percentage of seats filled) held near 94%. The company projects traffic growth of about 4% in fiscal 2027. The principal concern is fuel exposure: management has indicated the carrier is roughly 85% unhedged on next year's fuel requirements, and CEO Michael O'Leary has publicly warned of a potentially record rise in European airfares as higher oil costs are passed through. Rising environmental taxes and capacity constraints add further pressure to the near-term outlook.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI trading bots that are currently best suited to prevailing market conditions. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI-powered trading bots that trade thousands of different tickers, yet only a fraction earn a place in this featured section. These bots vary widely in trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and the set of tickers they monitor, allowing traders to filter for approaches aligned with their own objectives. Exploring the page can help investors identify automated strategies that are actively generating signals in the current market. Consider visiting the Trending AI Robots section to review the latest top-performing bots.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies represent contrasting airline strategies. LTM operates a diversified network model with meaningful cargo and loyalty-driven premium revenue, while RYAAY is a pure ultra-low-cost model optimized for volume and cost efficiency. Growth drivers differ accordingly: LATAM leans on premium demand, cargo yields, and a fast-growing loyalty base, whereas Ryanair depends on traffic volume, fleet modernization, and ancillary services.
Recent momentum clearly favors LATAM, which has outperformed its peer and drawn analyst upgrades, while Ryanair's relative performance has lagged amid fuel-hedging gaps and regulatory cost pressures. Risk profiles also diverge. LATAM carries higher balance-sheet leverage and meaningful foreign-exchange exposure across Brazil and other Latin American currencies. Ryanair's balance sheet is comparatively strong, but its largely unhedged fuel position and sensitivity to European taxation and air-traffic-control disruptions create near-term earnings uncertainty. In terms of sector exposure, both are cyclical and fuel-sensitive, yet LATAM's cargo business and hedging discipline provide some offset that Ryanair's cost-focused model does not fully replicate.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor LTM in the current environment. The stock's stronger relative performance, more consistent upward trend, recent earnings beats, upgraded guidance, and constructive analyst revisions signal comparatively favorable trend consistency and catalyst positioning. Ryanair's solid long-term franchise and strong analyst consensus are offset, for now, by its declining price trend, elevated fuel-hedging exposure, and near-term cost headwinds. A probabilistic assessment therefore tilts toward LATAM, though the outcome remains sensitive to fuel-price swings, currency moves, and shifting travel demand in both regions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LTM is a StrongBuy and RYAAY is a StrongBuy.
LTM's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 5 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +1.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LTM advanced for three days, in 110 of 145 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
LTM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LTM as a result. In 28 of 42 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LTM turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 13 of the 19 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.
LTM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LTM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator for LTM entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LTM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LTM's P/B Ratio (6.899) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.838). P/E Ratio (8.889) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.620). LTM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.980) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.908) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
RYAAY in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026
RYAAY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 38 cases where RYAAY's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 54 cases where RYAAY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RYAAY just turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where RYAAY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +3.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RYAAY advanced for three days, in 230 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RYAAY as a result. In 62 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
RYAAY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RYAAY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator for RYAAY entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RYAAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RYAAY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.957) is normal, around the industry mean (1.838). P/E Ratio (14.994) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.620). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.513) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. RYAAY's P/S Ratio (1.548) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.529).
LTM | RYAAY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 69 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 13 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 69 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 35 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RYAAY's Valuation (74) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as LTM (78). This means that RYAAY’s stock grew similarly to LTM’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RYAAY (69). This means that LTM’s stock grew somewhat faster than RYAAY’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's SMR Rating (13) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as RYAAY (43). This means that LTM’s stock grew similarly to RYAAY’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as RYAAY (58). This means that LTM’s stock grew similarly to RYAAY’s over the last 12 months.
RYAAY's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LTM (69). This means that RYAAY’s stock grew somewhat faster than LTM’s over the last 12 months.
| LTM | RYAAY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 58% | 9 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LTM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while RYAAY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LTM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RYAAY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LTM’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RYAAY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LTM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RYAAY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
LTM (@Airlines) experienced а +1.63% price change this week, while RYAAY (@Airlines) price change was +5.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was +0.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.96%.
Reported Earning Dates
LTM is expected to report earnings on Nov 13, 2026.
RYAAY is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (+0.23% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
Advertisement
LTM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LTM has been closely correlated with CPA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LTM jumps, then CPA could also see price increases.