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LTM vs RYAAY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) vs. Ryanair Holdings (RYAAY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Regional contrast: LTM (LATAM Airlines Group) is Latin America's largest carrier, while RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings) is Europe's largest low-cost airline, giving each a distinct demand and fuel-cost profile.
- Growth vs. momentum: LTM posted strong earnings growth in 2025 (diluted EPS up roughly 54% year over year) but has pulled back sharply in recent months, whereas RYAAY beat quarterly estimates and rallied despite a year-over-year profit decline.
- Sentiment divide: RYAAY carries a "Strong Buy" analyst consensus with meaningful upside targets, while LTM offers a higher dividend yield (near 5%) alongside more recent downside volatility.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, relative analyst positioning, and recent catalysts, the AI currently favors RYAAY over LTM.
- For more context, explore LTM Major News, LTM Today's Price Move, RYAAY Major News, and RYAAY Today's Price Move.
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Introduction
Comparing LTM and RYAAY puts two of the world's most prominent airline groups side by side, even though they operate in entirely different hemispheres. LATAM Airlines Group dominates South American routes, while Ryanair Holdings is Europe's largest ultra-low-cost carrier. This stock comparison is most relevant for investors and traders weighing exposure to the global aviation cycle, fuel-price sensitivity, and regional demand trends. Recent market activity has highlighted how sharply the two names diverge: LATAM has given back much of a strong prior-year run, while Ryanair has drawn fresh buying interest after resilient quarterly results and renewed capital-return commitments.
LTM Overview and Recent Performance
LTM, or LATAM Airlines Group S.A., is a Santiago, Chile-based airline group operating across Latin America with extensive domestic and international networks, alongside a growing cargo business. On a fundamental basis, the company's recent trajectory has been strong: full-year 2025 revenue rose roughly 12% to approximately $14.2 billion, and diluted earnings per share (EPS, a measure of profit allocated to each share) climbed more than 50% year over year. The company also resumed meaningful shareholder returns, with a dividend yield near 5%.
Despite these fundamentals, LTM has experienced notable relative weakness in recent weeks. After reaching a 52-week high early in 2026, the American depositary shares have retrenched considerably, with the stock down double digits year to date and off more than 20% over a rolling three-month period. This pullback reflects broader profit-taking after a rapid appreciation, alongside currency and regional macroeconomic considerations in Latin American markets. The resulting pattern has been one of fading momentum rather than deterioration in underlying earnings.
RYAAY Overview and Recent Performance
RYAAY represents the American depositary shares of Ryanair Holdings plc, the Dublin-based ultra-low-cost carrier that operates the largest scheduled network in Europe. In its most recent fiscal quarter, Ryanair reported revenue up about 4% to €5.70 billion and net profit down roughly 6% to €1.61 billion, with first-half profit falling about 15% as higher fuel costs and slightly lower average fares weighed on results. Passenger traffic still grew, and the company announced an €800 million share buyback along with an interim dividend.
Sentiment around RYAAY has improved in recent weeks. The shares jumped following the earnings release as investors focused on resilient demand, cost-discipline measures, and capital returns rather than the headline profit decline. The company modestly trimmed its annual passenger target to about 214 million, while flagging a potential €2 billion higher fuel bill in the following fiscal year as hedges roll off. Analysts have maintained an overwhelmingly bullish stance, with a "Strong Buy" consensus and average price targets well above recent trading levels.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two airlines is geographic and structural. LTM operates as a full-service network carrier across a region where air-travel penetration is still expanding, offering a longer-term secular growth story and a sizable dividend. RYAAY, by contrast, is a mature ultra-low-cost operator competing on unit-cost efficiency in a highly penetrated European market, where growth depends on stealing share and disciplined capacity management.
On risk factors, both face fuel-price exposure, but the timing differs. Ryanair has hedged roughly 80% of its near-term fuel needs at lower prices, which cushions the current fiscal year but creates a steeper cost cliff thereafter. LATAM is more exposed to regional currency swings and emerging-market economic cycles. In terms of recent momentum, RYAAY has shown relative strength with a sharp post-earnings rally and bullish analyst revisions, while LTM has suffered a momentum reversal despite strong trailing earnings. This divergence in relative performance and market positioning is the key trade-off for investors to weigh.
Tickeron AI Verdict
On observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward RYAAY over LTM. Ryanair benefits from a more consistent near-term trend, a clearly defined earnings catalyst, reinforced capital returns, and an overwhelmingly bullish analyst consensus, which together suggest more stable positioning. LATAM's fundamentals remain strong, but its recent sharp drawdown and fading momentum introduce greater uncertainty in the current environment. This preference is expressed in probabilistic terms based on trend consistency, stability, and catalyst quality rather than as a guaranteed outcome.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LTM is a Buy and RYAAY is a Hold.
LTM's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for LTM moved out of oversold territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 8 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 7 of the 8 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LTM as a result. In 37 of 44 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LTM just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where LTM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 17 of 21 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
LTM moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +7.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LTM advanced for three days, in 110 of 148 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LTM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
LTM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for LTM entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LTM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.839) is normal, around the industry mean (2.379). P/E Ratio (8.811) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.762). LTM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.980) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.908) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
RYAAY in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026
The 10-day moving average for RYAAY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RYAAY as a result. In 66 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RYAAY just turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where RYAAY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
RYAAY moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RYAAY advanced for three days, in 226 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RYAAY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
RYAAY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for RYAAY entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RYAAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.241) is normal, around the industry mean (2.379). P/E Ratio (16.435) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.762). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.513) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. RYAAY's P/S Ratio (1.548) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.529).
LTM | RYAAY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 53 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 13 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 8 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RYAAY's Valuation (75) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as LTM (78). This means that RYAAY’s stock grew similarly to LTM’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as RYAAY (53). This means that LTM’s stock grew similarly to RYAAY’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's SMR Rating (13) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as RYAAY (43). This means that LTM’s stock grew similarly to RYAAY’s over the last 12 months.
RYAAY's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as LTM (50). This means that RYAAY’s stock grew similarly to LTM’s over the last 12 months.
RYAAY's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LTM (73). This means that RYAAY’s stock grew somewhat faster than LTM’s over the last 12 months.
| LTM | RYAAY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 59% | 20 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 69% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LTM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while RYAAY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LTM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RYAAY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LTM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RYAAY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LTM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RYAAY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LTM (@Airlines) experienced а +13.36% price change this week, while RYAAY (@Airlines) price change was +12.11% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was +14.84%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
RYAAY is expected to report earnings on Feb 01, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (+14.84% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
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LTM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LTM has been closely correlated with CPA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LTM jumps, then CPA could also see price increases.
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